UMB Financial Corporation Stock Forecast
UMB Financial Corporation stock downgraded to Hold/Accumulate
(Updated on Mar 28, 2024)
The UMB Financial Corporation stock price gained 1.61% on the last trading day (Thursday, 28th Mar 2024), rising from $85.61 to $86.99. It has now gained 4 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 4.50% from a day low at $83.60 to a day high of $87.36. The price has risen in 8 of the last 10 days and is up by 9.74% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 128 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 302 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $26.25 million.
The stock has broken the horizontal trend up. Breaks like this are often followed by swift and strong movements, and any correction down to the breakline at approximately. $84.05 is considered to be a "second chance" to hit a potential runner. It is, however, important that volume does follow the price as false breaks may appear and it may move back into the horizontal trend. Based on the rectangle-formation theory the stock is predicted to reach $89.49 sometime during the next 3 months.
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UMBF Signals & Forecast
The UMB Financial Corporation stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $83.11 and $81.39. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Monday, March 18, 2024, and so far it has risen 10.77%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Friday, March 01, 2024 in the short-term chart.
Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.
Golden Star
The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Friday, March 01, 2024 in the short-term chart.Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for UMB Financial Corporation stock
UMB Financial Corporation finds support from accumulated volume at $83.44 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved $3.76 (4.50%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.51%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $83.72 (-3.76%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 8 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (UMBF) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 1st
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 1st we expect UMB Financial Corporation to open at $85.98, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $84.87 and $89.11, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$2.12 (+/-2.44%) up or down from last closing price. If UMB Financial Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.88% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no resistance above and support from accumulated volume @ $83.44, some $3.55 (4.08%) from the current price of $86.99, our system finds the risk reward attractive.
Is UMB Financial Corporation stock A Buy?
UMB Financial Corporation holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.000 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded
Zero in score indicates that our system is expecting high volatility and risk for the following trading day. Given the latest developments, we cannot determine the next direction as it may go both ways.
Predicted Opening Price for UMB Financial Corporation of Monday, April 1, 2024
Fair opening price April 1, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$85.98 ( 1.16%) | $86.99 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for UMBF
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 89.74 | 3.17 % | |
R2 | 88.31 | 1.51 % | ||
R1 | 87.42 | 0.494 % | ||
Current price: | 86.99 | |||
Support | S1 | 84.55 | -2.81 % | |
S2 | 83.66 | -3.83 % | ||
S3 | 82.22 | -5.48 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 0 | . | |
R2 | 0 | . | ||
R1 | 0 | . | ||
Current price | 86.99 | |||
Support | S1 | 83.44 | -4.08% | |
S2 | 82.50 | -5.16% | ||
S3 | 79.42 | -8.70% |
UMBF Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Jan 30, 2024 | Mar 08, 2024 | Apr 01, 2024 | $0.390 | 0.449% |
2 | Oct 24, 2023 | Dec 08, 2023 | Jan 02, 2024 | $0.390 | 0.465% |
3 | Jul 25, 2023 | Sep 08, 2023 | Oct 02, 2023 | $0.380 | 0.630% |
4 | Apr 25, 2023 | Jun 09, 2023 | Jul 03, 2023 | $0.380 | 0.614% |
5 | Jan 24, 2023 | Mar 09, 2023 | Apr 03, 2023 | $0.380 | 0.663% |
FAQ
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