Umicore Stock Forecast
Umicore stock downgraded to Sell Candidate
(Updated on Apr 18, 2024)
The Umicore stock price fell by -0.565% on the last day (Thursday, 18th Apr 2024) from 21.24€ to 21.12€. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.72% from a day low at 20.96€ to a day high of 21.32€. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 1.15% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 35 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 396 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately 8.37€ million.
The stockis at the upper part of a wide and horizontal trend and normally this may pose a good selling opportunity but a break-up through the top trend line at 21.45€ will give a strong buy signal and a trend shift could be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Umicore stock with a 90% probability to be traded between 19.07€ and 21.29€ at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and stocks seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Stocks turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
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UMI.BB Signals & Forecast
The Umicore stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately 21.16€. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately 20.52€. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, April 12, 2024, and so far it has fallen -1.58%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Umicore stock
Umicore finds support from accumulated volume at 20.70€ and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved 0.360€ (1.72%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.12%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (UMI.BB) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 19th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 19th we expect Umicore to open at 21.13€, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between 20.56€ and 21.68€, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-0.562€ (+/-2.66%) up or down from last closing price. If Umicore takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.32% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at 21.17€ (0.24%) than the support at 20.70€ (1.99%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Umicore stock A Buy?
Umicore holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -2.196 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Umicore of Friday, April 19, 2024
Fair opening price April 19, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
21.13€ ( 0.0631%) | 21.12€ |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for UMI.BB
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 21.49 | 1.77 % | |
R2 | 21.36 | 1.12 % | ||
R1 | 21.27 | 0.714 % | ||
Current price: | 21.12 | |||
Support | S1 | 21.00 | -0.588 % | |
S2 | 20.91 | -0.99 % | ||
S3 | 20.77 | -1.64 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 21.46 | 1.61 % | |
R2 | 21.44 | 1.52 % | ||
R1 | 21.17 | 0.237 % | ||
Current price | 21.12 | |||
Support | S1 | 20.70 | -1.99% | |
S2 | 20.67 | -2.13% | ||
S3 | 19.29 | -8.66% |
UMI Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Apr 29, 2024 | Apr 29, 2024 | May 01, 2024 | 0.385€ | 0% |
2 | May 02, 2023 | May 02, 2023 | May 02, 2023 | 0.550€ | 0% |
3 | Aug 19, 2022 | Aug 19, 2022 | Aug 19, 2022 | 0.250€ | 0% |
4 | May 02, 2022 | May 02, 2022 | May 02, 2022 | 0.550€ | 0% |
5 | Aug 20, 2021 | Aug 20, 2021 | Aug 20, 2021 | 0.250€ | 0% |
FAQ
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