The Valspar Corp Stock Forecast
The Valspar Corp stock downgraded from Hold/Accumulate to Sell Candidate after Tuesday trading session.
(Updated on Apr 23, 2024)
The The Valspar Corp stock price fell by -1.43% on the last day (Tuesday, 23rd Apr 2024) from £3.50 to £3.45. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.47% from a day low at £3.40 to a day high of £3.45. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -4.17% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 749 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 1 million shares were bought and sold for approximately £4.25 million.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -32.59% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between £2.12 and £2.42 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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VAL.L Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Thursday, April 18, 2024, and so far it has fallen 0%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The The Valspar Corp stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at £3.53 and £3.68. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for The Valspar Corp stock
There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the stock may perform very badly in the next couple of days.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved £0.0500 between high and low, or 1.47%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.37%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (VAL.L) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 24th
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 24th we expect The Valspar Corp to open at £3.43, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between £3.29 and £3.61, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-£0.164 (+/-4.75%) up or down from last closing price. If The Valspar Corp takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 9.49% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ £3.68, some £0.225 (6.52%) from the current price of £3.45, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.
Is The Valspar Corp stock A Buy?
The Valspar Corp holds several negative signals and is within a wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -1.212 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for The Valspar Corp of Wednesday, April 24, 2024
| Fair opening price April 24, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| £3.43 ( 0.483%) | £3.45 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for VAL.L
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 3.48 | 0.97 % | |
| R2 | 3.46 | 0.413 % | ||
| R1 | 3.45 | 0.0705 % | ||
| Current price: | 3.45 | |||
| Support | S1 | 3.41 | -1.04 % | |
| S2 | 3.40 | -1.38 % | ||
| S3 | 3.38 | -1.93 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 3.80 | 10.14 % | |
| R2 | 3.75 | 8.70 % | ||
| R1 | 3.68 | 6.52 % | ||
| Current price | 3.45 | |||
| Support | S1 | 0 | . | |
| S2 | 0 | . | ||
| S3 | 0 | . |
FAQ
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