Vale Stock Forecast
Green day on Monday for Vale stock after gaining 0.164%
(Updated on Apr 22, 2024)
The Vale stock price gained 0.164% on the last trading day (Monday, 22nd Apr 2024), rising from $12.18 to $12.20. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.71% from a day low at $11.95 to a day high of $12.28. The price has fallen in 5 of the last 10 days and is down by -2.4% for this period. Volume fell on the last day by -4 million shares and in total, 30 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $370.13 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock lies in the middle of a falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -15.30% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $9.76 and $10.48 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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VALE Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, April 16, 2024, and so far it has risen 4.54%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Vale stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $12.32. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $11.97. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Vale stock
Vale finds support from accumulated volume at $12.18 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $0.325 between high and low, or 2.71%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.52%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (VALE) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 23rd
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 23rd we expect Vale S.A. to open at $12.14, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $11.88 and $12.52, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.319 (+/-2.61%) up or down from last closing price. If Vale S.A. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.23% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $12.21 (0.08%) than the support at $12.18 (0.16%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Earnings coming up
Vale will release earnings BMO on Wednesday, April 24, 2024.The consensus among the analysts for the expected earnings (EPS) is $0.400. We will update the financials statements for Vale, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 3.17% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is Vale S.A. stock A Buy?
Vale holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock.
Current score: -2.231 Sell Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Vale S.A. of Tuesday, April 23, 2024
| Fair opening price April 23, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $12.14 ( 0.453%) | $12.20 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for VALE
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 12.47 | 2.21 % | |
| R2 | 12.35 | 1.19 % | ||
| R1 | 12.27 | 0.563 % | ||
| Current price: | 12.20 | |||
| Support | S1 | 12.02 | -1.47 % | |
| S2 | 11.94 | -2.10 % | ||
| S3 | 11.82 | -3.11 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 13.49 | 10.57 % | |
| R2 | 12.50 | 2.46 % | ||
| R1 | 12.21 | 0.0820 % | ||
| Current price | 12.20 | |||
| Support | S1 | 12.18 | -0.164% | |
| S2 | 12.11 | -0.738% | ||
| S3 | 12.02 | -1.48% |
VALE Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feb 23, 2024 | Mar 12, 2024 | Mar 26, 2024 | $0.547 | 4.55% |
| 2 | Oct 27, 2023 | Nov 22, 2023 | Dec 08, 2023 | $0.310 | 2.11% |
| 3 | Jul 28, 2023 | Aug 14, 2023 | Sep 11, 2023 | $0.406 | 2.96% |
| 4 | Feb 16, 2023 | Mar 14, 2023 | Mar 29, 2023 | $0.354 | 2.27% |
| 5 | Dec 02, 2022 | Dec 13, 2022 | May 10, 2023 | $0.0560 | 0.400% |
FAQ
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