VANGUARD INTERNATIONAL DIVIDEND ETF Forecast
VANGUARD INTERNATIONAL DIVIDEND ETF downgraded to Sell Candidate
(Updated on Apr 18, 2024)
The VANGUARD INTERNATIONAL DIVIDEND ETF price fell by -0.412% on the last day (Thursday, 18th Apr 2024) from $77.76 to $77.44. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.82% from a day low at $77.28 to a day high of $77.91. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -3.31% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the ETF, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the ETF. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -78 thousand shares and in total, 224 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $17.34 million.
Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect VANGUARD INTERNATIONAL DIVIDEND ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $78.45 and $84.32 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETFS seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETFS turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
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VIGI Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The VANGUARD INTERNATIONAL DIVIDEND ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $78.50 and $80.81. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, March 12, 2024, and so far it has fallen -6.46%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for VANGUARD INTERNATIONAL DIVIDEND ETF
There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the ETF may perform very badly in the next couple of days.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.630 between high and low, or 0.82%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.98%.
VANGUARD INTERNATIONAL DIVIDEND is oversold on RSI14 (17). Some ETFS may drop long and hard while being oversold on RSI before turning, which increases the general risk.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (VIGI) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 19th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 19th we expect VANGUARD INTERNATIONAL DIVIDEND APPRECIATION INDEX FUND ETF SHARES to open at $77.54, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $76.71 and $78.17, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.733 (+/-0.95%) up or down from last closing price. If VANGUARD INTERNATIONAL DIVIDEND APPRECIATION INDEX FUND ETF SHARES takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.89% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ $79.20, some $1.76 (2.27%) from the current price of $77.44, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.
Is VANGUARD INTERNATIONAL DIVIDEND APPRECIATION INDEX FUND ETF SHARES ETF A Buy?
VANGUARD INTERNATIONAL DIVIDEND holds several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this ETF. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -1.003 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for VANGUARD INTERNATIONAL DIVIDEND APPRECIATION INDEX FUND ETF SHARES of Friday, April 19, 2024
Fair opening price April 19, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$77.54 ( 0.133%) | $77.44 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for VIGI
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 78.17 | 0.95 % | |
R2 | 77.93 | 0.636 % | ||
R1 | 77.78 | 0.444 % | ||
Current price: | 77.44 | |||
Support | S1 | 77.30 | -0.177 % | |
S2 | 77.15 | -0.369 % | ||
S3 | 76.91 | -0.680 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 81.03 | 4.64 % | |
R2 | 79.28 | 2.38 % | ||
R1 | 79.20 | 2.27 % | ||
Current price | 77.44 | |||
Support | S1 | 0 | . | |
S2 | 0 | . | ||
S3 | 0 | . |
VIGI Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Mar 15, 2024 | Mar 15, 2024 | Mar 20, 2024 | $0.434 | 0.529% |
2 | Dec 14, 2023 | Dec 18, 2023 | Dec 21, 2023 | $0.374 | 0.479% |
3 | Sep 14, 2023 | Sep 18, 2023 | Sep 21, 2023 | $0.182 | 0.251% |
4 | Jun 15, 2023 | Jun 20, 2023 | Jun 23, 2023 | $0.651 | 0.88% |
5 | Mar 16, 2023 | Mar 20, 2023 | Mar 23, 2023 | $0.319 | 0.449% |
FAQ
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