VANGUARD INTERNATIONAL DIVIDEND ETF Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
VANGUARD INTERNATIONAL DIVIDEND ETF downgraded to Sell Candidate
(Updated on Apr 24, 2024)
The VANGUARD INTERNATIONAL DIVIDEND ETF price fell by -0.505% on the last day (Wednesday, 24th Apr 2024) from $79.23 to $78.83. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.82% from a day low at $78.52 to a day high of $79.16. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -0.88% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 744 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 983 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $77.49 million.
The ETF is moving within a horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect VANGUARD INTERNATIONAL DIVIDEND ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $77.21 and $82.45 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETFS seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETFS turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
Ready to grow your portfolio? Here's your beginner's guide to opening a free brokerage account.
VIGI Signals & Forecast
There are mixed signals in the ETF today. The VANGUARD INTERNATIONAL DIVIDEND ETF holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the ETF giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $80.53. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the short-term average at $78.14. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the ETF should be followed more closely. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Thursday, April 18, 2024, and so far it has risen 1.79%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for VANGUARD INTERNATIONAL DIVIDEND ETF
VANGUARD INTERNATIONAL DIVIDEND finds support from accumulated volume at $78.43 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.645 between high and low, or 0.82%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.83%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (VIGI) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 25th
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 25th we expect VANGUARD INTERNATIONAL DIVIDEND APPRECIATION INDEX FUND ETF SHARES to open at $78.84, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $78.08 and $79.58, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.746 (+/-0.95%) up or down from last closing price. If VANGUARD INTERNATIONAL DIVIDEND APPRECIATION INDEX FUND ETF SHARES takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.89% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $79.20 (0.47%) than the support at $78.43 (0.51%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is VANGUARD INTERNATIONAL DIVIDEND APPRECIATION INDEX FUND ETF SHARES ETF A Buy?
VANGUARD INTERNATIONAL DIVIDEND holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this ETF. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -1.763 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for VANGUARD INTERNATIONAL DIVIDEND APPRECIATION INDEX FUND ETF SHARES of Thursday, April 25, 2024
Fair opening price April 25, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$78.84 ( 0.0063%) | $78.83 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for VIGI
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 79.48 | 0.82 % | |
R2 | 79.23 | 0.512 % | ||
R1 | 79.08 | 0.319 % | ||
Current price: | 78.83 | |||
Support | S1 | 78.59 | -0.306 % | |
S2 | 78.44 | -0.499 % | ||
S3 | 78.19 | -0.81 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 81.03 | 2.79 % | |
R2 | 79.28 | 0.571 % | ||
R1 | 79.20 | 0.469 % | ||
Current price | 78.83 | |||
Support | S1 | 78.43 | -0.507% | |
S2 | 78.09 | -0.94% | ||
S3 | 77.76 | -1.36% |
VIGI Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Mar 15, 2024 | Mar 15, 2024 | Mar 20, 2024 | $0.434 | 0.529% |
2 | Dec 14, 2023 | Dec 18, 2023 | Dec 21, 2023 | $0.374 | 0.479% |
3 | Sep 14, 2023 | Sep 18, 2023 | Sep 21, 2023 | $0.182 | 0.251% |
4 | Jun 15, 2023 | Jun 20, 2023 | Jun 23, 2023 | $0.651 | 0.88% |
5 | Mar 16, 2023 | Mar 20, 2023 | Mar 23, 2023 | $0.319 | 0.449% |
FAQ
Click here for our free guide on how to buy VANGUARD INTERNATIONAL DIVIDEND APPRECIATION INDEX FUND ETF SHARES ETF.