VANGUARD INTERNATIONAL DIVIDEND ETF Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
VANGUARD INTERNATIONAL DIVIDEND ETF upgraded to Buy Candidate.
(Updated on Apr 17, 2024)
The VANGUARD INTERNATIONAL DIVIDEND ETF price gained 0.0386% on the last trading day (Wednesday, 17th Apr 2024), rising from $77.73 to $77.76. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.88% from a day low at $77.44 to a day high of $78.12. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -3.48% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 38 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 301 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $23.44 million.
The ETF is at the lower part of a horizontal trend in the short term, and normally this may pose a good buying opportunity, though a breakdown through the bottom trend line at $77.75 will give a strong sell signal and a trend shift may be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect VANGUARD INTERNATIONAL DIVIDEND ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $79.20 and $84.95 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETFS seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETFS turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
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VIGI Signals & Forecast
The VANGUARD INTERNATIONAL DIVIDEND ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $78.94 and $80.90. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some positive signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, April 16, 2024, and so far it has risen 0.0386%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for VANGUARD INTERNATIONAL DIVIDEND ETF
VANGUARD INTERNATIONAL DIVIDEND finds support from accumulated volume at $77.73 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.685 between high and low, or 0.88%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.04%.
VANGUARD INTERNATIONAL DIVIDEND is oversold on RSI14 (18). Some ETFS may drop long and hard while being oversold on RSI before turning, which increases the general risk.
Our recommended stop-loss: $72.61 (-6.63%) (This ETF has low daily movements and this gives low risk. Low RSI14 is 18 which reduces the risk some. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 1 day ago.)
Trading Expectations (VIGI) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 18th
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 18th we expect VANGUARD INTERNATIONAL DIVIDEND APPRECIATION INDEX FUND ETF SHARES to open at $77.77, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $77.02 and $78.50, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.741 (+/-0.95%) up or down from last closing price. If VANGUARD INTERNATIONAL DIVIDEND APPRECIATION INDEX FUND ETF SHARES takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.91% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $77.73 (0.04%) than the resistance at $79.20 (1.85%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is VANGUARD INTERNATIONAL DIVIDEND APPRECIATION INDEX FUND ETF SHARES ETF A Buy?
Several of the signals/indicators are negative, and we believe that this will affect on the development for the next days and maybe possible weeks. However, over time, we think that today's level holds a possible buying opportunity and that the price will be higher during or at the end of this 3-month period. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Buy candidate.
Current score: 1.985 Buy Candidate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for VANGUARD INTERNATIONAL DIVIDEND APPRECIATION INDEX FUND ETF SHARES of Thursday, April 18, 2024
| Fair opening price April 18, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $77.77 ( 0.0150%) | $77.76 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for VIGI
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 78.46 | 0.90 % | |
| R2 | 78.19 | 0.559 % | ||
| R1 | 78.03 | 0.352 % | ||
| Current price: | 77.76 | |||
| Support | S1 | 77.51 | -0.322 % | |
| S2 | 77.35 | -0.529 % | ||
| S3 | 77.09 | -0.87 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 81.03 | 4.21 % | |
| R2 | 79.28 | 1.95 % | ||
| R1 | 79.20 | 1.85 % | ||
| Current price | 77.76 | |||
| Support | S1 | 77.73 | -0.0386% | |
| S2 | 0 | . | ||
| S3 | 0 | . |
VIGI Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mar 15, 2024 | Mar 15, 2024 | Mar 20, 2024 | $0.434 | 0.529% |
| 2 | Dec 14, 2023 | Dec 18, 2023 | Dec 21, 2023 | $0.374 | 0.479% |
| 3 | Sep 14, 2023 | Sep 18, 2023 | Sep 21, 2023 | $0.182 | 0.251% |
| 4 | Jun 15, 2023 | Jun 20, 2023 | Jun 23, 2023 | $0.651 | 0.88% |
| 5 | Mar 16, 2023 | Mar 20, 2023 | Mar 23, 2023 | $0.319 | 0.449% |
FAQ
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