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Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Securities ETF Forecast

$45.15
-0.0700 (-0.155%)
At Close: Mar 18, 2024
RSI low/high Values: [ 25 - 75 ]
* StockInvest.us uses dynamically calculated RSI max/min levels to determine when stock is oversold or overbought based on historical behavior.
AI Analysis of VMBS
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Red day on Monday for Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Securities
(Updated on Mar 18, 2024)

Sell candidate since Mar 13, 2024 Loss -0.97% PDF

The Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Securities ETF price fell by -0.155% on the last day (Monday, 18th Mar 2024) from $45.22 to $45.15. It has now fallen 6 days in a row. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.266% from a day low at $45.10 to a day high of $45.22. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -0.2% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 201 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 1 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $51.06 million.

The ETF lies in the middle of a narrow and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to fall -2.22% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $43.59 and $44.67 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.

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VMBS Signals & Forecast

Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Securities ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $45.48 and $45.47. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, March 08, 2024, and so far it has fallen -1.40%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the ETF should be followed more closely.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Securities ETF

Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Securities finds support from accumulated volume at $45.07 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.120 between high and low, or 0.266%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.308%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (VMBS) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 19th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 19th we expect Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Securities ETF to open at $45.16, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $44.93 and $45.37, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.218 (+/-0.48%) up or down from last closing price. If Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Securities ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.96% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $45.07 (0.18%) than the resistance at $45.41 (0.58%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Securities ETF ETF A Buy?

Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Securities holds several negative signals and is within a narrow and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this ETF.

Current score: -3.128 Sell Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Opening Price for Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Securities ETF of Tuesday, March 19, 2024

Fair opening price March 19, 2024 Current price
$45.16 ( 0.0148%) $45.15

The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.

Trading levels for VMBS

Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels

Level Price
Resistance R3 45.28 0.281 %
R2 45.23 0.179 %
R1 45.20 0.116 %
Current price: 45.15
Support S1 45.11 -0.0868 %
S2 45.08 -0.149 %
S3 45.04 -0.251 %

Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels

Level Price
Resistance R3 46.29 2.52 %
R2 46.19 2.30 %
R1 45.41 0.576 %
Current price 45.15
Support S1 45.07 -0.177%
S2 45.02 -0.288%
S3 44.98 -0.377%

VMBS Dividend Payout History


# Declaration Date Ex-Date Pay Date Amount Yield
1 Feb 28, 2024 Mar 01, 2024 Mar 06, 2024 $0.145 0.319%
2 Jan 30, 2024 Feb 01, 2024 Feb 06, 2024 $0.143 0.314%
3 Dec 20, 2023 Dec 22, 2023 Dec 28, 2023 $0.142 0.306%
4 Nov 29, 2023 Dec 01, 2023 Dec 06, 2023 $0.141 0.310%
5 Oct 30, 2023 Nov 01, 2023 Nov 06, 2023 $0.134 0.308%

FAQ

What is the symbol for Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Securities ETF ETF and on which exchange is it traded?
The symbol for Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Securities ETF is VMBS and it is traded on the NASDAQ (NASDAQ Stock Exchange).

Should I buy or sell Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Securities ETF ETF?
Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Securities holds several negative signals and is within a narrow and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this ETF.

How to buy Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Securities ETF ETF?
Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Securities ETF ETF can be purchased through just about any brokerage firm, including online brokerage services.
Click here for our free guide on how to buy Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Securities ETF ETF.

What's the current price of Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Securities ETF ETF?
As of the end of day on the 2024-03-18, the price of an Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Securities ETF (VMBS) share was $45.15.

What is the 52-week high and low for Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Securities ETF ETF?
The 52-week high for Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Securities ETF ETF is $47.21 and the 52-week low is $42.06.

What is the market capitalization of Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Securities ETF ETF?
As of the 2024-03-18, the market capitalization of Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Securities ETF is 18.678B.
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About Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Securities ETF

The investment seeks to track the performance of a market-weighted mortgage-backed securities index. The fund employs an indexing investment approach designed to track the performance of the Barclays U.S. MBS Float Adjusted Index. This index covers U.S. agency mortgage-backed pass-through securities. To be included in the index, pool aggregates must have at least $250 million currently outstanding and a weighted average maturity of at least 1 ye... VMBS Profile

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