Valvoline Inc Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Green day on Monday for Valvoline Inc stock after gaining 1.55%
(Updated on Apr 22, 2024)
The Valvoline Inc stock price gained 1.55% on the last trading day (Monday, 22nd Apr 2024), rising from $41.19 to $41.83. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.55% from a day low at $41.22 to a day high of $42.27. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days and is down by -3.17% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 317 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 1 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $48.34 million.
The stock lies in the lower part of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $41.30 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 16.63% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $48.17 and $55.13 at the end of this 3-month period.
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VVV Signals & Forecast
There are mixed signals in the stock today. The Valvoline Inc stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $43.31. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $41.51. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, March 21, 2024, and so far it has fallen -7.02%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Valvoline Inc stock
Valvoline Inc finds support from accumulated volume at $40.40 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $1.05 between high and low, or 2.55%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.99%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (VVV) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 23rd
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 23rd we expect Valvoline Inc to open at $41.77, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $41.00 and $42.66, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.83 (+/-1.98%) up or down from last closing price. If Valvoline Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.97% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $43.20 (3.28%) than the support at $40.40 (3.42%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Valvoline Inc stock A Buy?
Valvoline Inc holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock.
Current score: -1.638 Sell Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Valvoline Inc of Tuesday, April 23, 2024
| Fair opening price April 23, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $41.77 ( 0.137%) | $41.83 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for VVV
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 42.83 | 2.38 % | |
| R2 | 42.42 | 1.42 % | ||
| R1 | 42.17 | 0.82 % | ||
| Current price: | 41.83 | |||
| Support | S1 | 41.37 | -1.10 % | |
| S2 | 41.12 | -1.69 % | ||
| S3 | 40.72 | -2.65 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 44.14 | 5.52 % | |
| R2 | 43.75 | 4.59 % | ||
| R1 | 43.20 | 3.28 % | ||
| Current price | 41.83 | |||
| Support | S1 | 40.40 | -3.42% | |
| S2 | 39.36 | -5.90% | ||
| S3 | 37.06 | -11.40% |
VVV Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nov 21, 2022 | Dec 01, 2022 | Dec 15, 2022 | $0.125 | 0.403% |
| 2 | Jul 20, 2022 | Aug 30, 2022 | Sep 15, 2022 | $0.125 | 0.451% |
| 3 | Apr 21, 2022 | May 27, 2022 | Jun 15, 2022 | $0.125 | 0.407% |
| 4 | Jan 24, 2022 | Feb 25, 2022 | Mar 15, 2022 | $0.125 | 0.419% |
| 5 | Nov 11, 2021 | Nov 26, 2021 | Dec 15, 2021 | $0.125 | 0.355% |
FAQ
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