YPF SA (ADR) Forecast and Stock Analysis
Technical YPF stock analysis for February 15, 2019.
| Shorts | 1.01% ( 2019-01-31 ) |
| Cash | n/a |
| Loans | n/a |
| Beta | 1.34 |
| ROA | 3.12 |
YPF SA (ADR) fell by -1.65% in the last day from $15.73 to $15.47 The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -6.24% for this period. Volume has increased in the last day by 447 908 shares, but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly for the next couple of days. In total, 792 281 shares bought and sold for approximately $12.26 million.
Close price at the end of the last trading day (Friday, 15th Feb 2019) of the YPF stock was $15.47. This is 1.65% less than the trading day before Thursday, 14th Feb 2019.
During day the stock fluctuated 3.11% from a day low at $15.43 to a day high of $15.91.
30 day high of the YPF stock price was $16.70 and low was $14.34.
90 day high was $16.70 and low was $11.99.
52 week high for the YPF SA (ADR) - $24.15 and low - $11.99.
Trend
YPF SA (ADR) lies in the middle of a very wide and weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 8.42% during the next 3 months and, with 90% probability hold a price between $14.20 and $18.37 at the end of this period.
Signals
There are mixed signals in the stock today. A sales signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday February 12, 2019, which indicates further falls until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely. YPF SA (ADR) holds a sales signal from the short-term moving average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term moving average at approximately $15.62. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $15.10. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sales signal.
Access today's Top 5 Golden Star Companies
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
RSI14 is 52 and the stock is currently not being overbought or oversold
Support & Resistance
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $14.68 and $14.46.
There is natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, YPF SA (ADR) finds support just below today's level at $14.68. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $14.46 and $14.42.
Risk
This stock is usually traded at good volume, and with minor daily changes the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved $0.48 (3.11%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had a daily average volatility of 2.77%.
Our recommended stoploss: $14.84 (-4.06%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from pivot top found 3 days ago.)
Overall risk:
Very Low Low Medium High Very High
Evaluation: Hold/Accumulate
YPF SA (ADR) holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy-recommendation. At the current level we recommend to hold or accumulate in this position whilst awaiting for further development.
