YPF SA (ADR) Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Weaker technical forecast for YPF SA (ADR) as stock downgraded to Hold/Accumulate.
(Updated on Apr 24, 2024)
The YPF SA (ADR) stock price fell by -3.40% on the last day (Wednesday, 24th Apr 2024) from $20.87 to $20.16. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 4.05% from a day low at $20.14 to a day high of $20.96. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -6.06% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -104 thousand shares and in total, 1 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $28.20 million.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 26.74% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $24.56 and $28.64 at the end of this 3-month period.
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YPF Signals & Forecast
The YPF SA (ADR) stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $19.99 and $19.75. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, April 09, 2024, and so far it has fallen -7.31%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for YPF SA (ADR) stock
YPF SA (ADR) finds support from accumulated volume at $19.26 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.81 between high and low, or 4.05%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 4.39%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $19.09 (-5.32%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 11 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (YPF) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 25th
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 25th we expect YPF SA (ADR) to open at $20.42, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $19.33 and $20.99, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.83 (+/-4.14%) up or down from last closing price. If YPF SA (ADR) takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 8.28% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $20.19 (0.15%) than the support at $19.26 (4.46%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is YPF SA (ADR) stock A Buy?
YPF SA (ADR) holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.987 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for YPF SA (ADR) of Thursday, April 25, 2024
| Fair opening price April 25, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $20.42 ( 1.28%) | $20.16 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for YPF
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 21.23 | 5.32 % | |
| R2 | 20.92 | 3.78 % | ||
| R1 | 20.73 | 2.83 % | ||
| Current price: | 20.16 | |||
| Support | S1 | 20.11 | -0.263 % | |
| S2 | 19.91 | -1.22 % | ||
| S3 | 19.60 | -2.76 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 21.75 | 7.89 % | |
| R2 | 21.71 | 7.69 % | ||
| R1 | 20.19 | 0.149 % | ||
| Current price | 20.16 | |||
| Support | S1 | 19.26 | -4.46% | |
| S2 | 18.71 | -7.19% | ||
| S3 | 18.05 | -10.47% |
YPF Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jun 28, 2019 | Jul 09, 2019 | Jul 10, 2019 | $0.138 | 0.748% |
| 2 | Dec 14, 2018 | Dec 24, 2018 | Dec 26, 2018 | $0.0800 | 0.609% |
| 3 | Jun 23, 2017 | Jul 03, 2017 | Jul 06, 2017 | $0.113 | 0.512% |
| 4 | Jun 27, 2016 | Jul 01, 2016 | Jul 06, 2016 | $0.151 | 0.789% |
| 5 | Jul 22, 2015 | Jul 22, 2015 | Jul 22, 2015 | $0.140 | 0.577% |
FAQ
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