National Retail Properties Stock Forecast
National Retail Properties stock upgraded from Hold/Accumulate to Buy Candidate after Wednesday trading session.
(Updated on Apr 24, 2024)
The National Retail Properties stock price gained 0.439% on the last trading day (Wednesday, 24th Apr 2024), rising from $40.96 to $41.14. It has now gained 6 days in a row. It is not often that stocks manage to gain so many days in a row, and falls for a day or two should be expected. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.44% from a day low at $40.58 to a day high of $41.17. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 1.28% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -746 thousand shares and in total, 853 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $35.10 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock is moving within a horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect National Retail Properties stock with a 90% probability to be traded between $39.97 and $43.65 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and stocks seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Stocks turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
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NNN Signals & Forecast
There are mixed signals in the stock today. The National Retail Properties stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $41.49. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $40.22. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, April 16, 2024, and so far it has risen 4.50%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for National Retail Properties stock
National Retail Properties finds support from accumulated volume at $41.00 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved $0.585 (1.44%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.47%.
Since the National Retail Properties has been rising for 6 days in a row, the risk over the next couple of days has increased. We don't expect a major reaction as the stock is in very good shape technically, and therefore hold a positive evaluation despite the very short term risk.
Our recommended stop-loss: $39.38 (-4.28%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 6 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (NNN) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 25th
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 25th we expect National Retail Properties to open at $40.96, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $40.44 and $41.84, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.701 (+/-1.70%) up or down from last closing price. If National Retail Properties takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.41% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $41.15 (0.02%) than the support at $41.00 (0.34%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is National Retail Properties stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity, as there is a fair chance for National Retail Properties stock to perform well in the short-term period. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Buy candidate.
Current score: 1.420 Buy Candidate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for National Retail Properties of Thursday, April 25, 2024
Fair opening price April 25, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$40.96 ( 0.433%) | $41.14 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for NNN
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 41.55 | 0.99 % | |
R2 | 41.32 | 0.445 % | ||
R1 | 41.19 | 0.110 % | ||
Current price: | 41.14 | |||
Support | S1 | 40.74 | -0.98 % | |
S2 | 40.60 | -1.31 % | ||
S3 | 40.38 | -1.86 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 41.48 | 0.83 % | |
R2 | 41.36 | 0.535 % | ||
R1 | 41.15 | 0.0243 % | ||
Current price | 41.14 | |||
Support | S1 | 41.00 | -0.340% | |
S2 | 40.80 | -0.83% | ||
S3 | 39.98 | -2.82% |
NNN Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Apr 15, 2024 | Apr 29, 2024 | May 15, 2024 | $0.565 | 1.37% |
2 | Jan 16, 2024 | Jan 31, 2024 | Feb 15, 2024 | $0.565 | 1.39% |
3 | Jan 16, 2024 | Jan 30, 2024 | Feb 15, 2024 | $0.570 | 1.40% |
4 | Oct 16, 2023 | Oct 30, 2023 | Nov 15, 2023 | $0.565 | 1.45% |
5 | Jul 14, 2023 | Jul 28, 2023 | Aug 15, 2023 | $0.565 | 1.45% |
FAQ
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