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Netflix Q1 Earnings Preview

Alex Vellor
06:19am, Thursday, Apr 18, 2024

Photo by Dima Solomin (Unsplash)

Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) will unveil its Q1 earnings for 2024 today, so all eyes are on its potential subscriber growth and strategic maneuvers.

Revenue and Profit Expectations

Analysts project a robust increase in revenue, estimating $9.26 billion for the quarter, compared to $8.16 billion in the same period last year.

This would mark a substantial year-over-year growth, showcasing Netflix’s continued market dominance. Additionally, expectations are set for adjusted net income to rise sharply to $2.07 billion from $1.38 billion, with adjusted earnings per share (EPS) anticipated at $4.68, a significant leap from last year’s $3.06.

Metric Analyst Estimates for Q1 2024 Q4 2023 Q1 2023
Revenue $9.26 billion $8.83 billion $8.16 billion
Adjusted EPS $4.68 $2.32 $3.06
Adjusted Net Income $2.07 billion $1.03 billion $1.38 billion

Subscriber Growth Analysis

One critical area of focus for investors will be Netflix’s subscriber base, which has been expanding notably. Following the implementation of a password-sharing crackdown, the company reported 260.28 million paid memberships globally at the end of 2023, marking a 12% increase.

This enforcement might have contributed positively to its subscriber count, although analysts suggest that the market may have already accounted for this impact in the stock price.

Netflix Performance chart on StockInvest.us

Strategic Collaborations and Innovations

Beyond just numbers, Netflix is also poised to offer more details on its strategic collaborations and content innovations. Notably, the partnership with WWE and the arrival of the flagship show "RAW" on Netflix in 2025 is set to be a significant addition. This collaboration could enhance the platform's appeal, drawing wrestling fans and bolstering subscriber engagement.

Photo by "Freestocks" on Unsplash

Furthermore, the company is exploring new revenue streams and audience growth strategies, such as expanding into live sports content and enhancing its advertising capabilities, particularly with the WWE partnership. The potential for gaming expansion and increasing viewership on its ad-supported tier also presents additional growth avenues.

Market Performance and Investor Outlook

Despite these promising prospects, the stock experienced a slight dip of 2.5% at the start of the week, closing at $607.15. However, it has seen a nearly 30% increase year-to-date and an impressive surge of more than 82% over the past 12 months, reflecting strong investor confidence.

Investors and analysts will be keen on today's earnings call, which is expected to shed more light on Netflix’s strategic direction and its ability to maintain momentum amid a competitive streaming landscape.


About The Author

Alex Vellor