Green day on Friday for Microsoft stock after gaining 2.56%

The Microsoft stock price gained 2.56% on the last trading day (Friday, 20th Aug 2021), rising from $296.77 to $304.36. , and has now gained 3 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. During the day the stock fluctuated 2.61% from a day low at $298.06 to a day high of $305.84. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 5.15% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 11 million more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 41 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $12.38 billion.

On August 20, 2021 "Wedbush" gave "$325.00 - $350.00" rating for MSFT. The price target was set to $296.77+2.1%.

The stock lies in the upper part of a strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break-up at the top trend line at $306.26 will firstly indicate a stronger rate of rising.Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 20.57% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $351.25 and $369.25 at the end of this 3-month period.

Mostly positive signals in the chart today. The Microsoft stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term moving averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $294.60 and $285.75. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Monday, August 02, 2021, and so far it has risen 6.86%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 months Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal.

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $286.22 and $277.01.There is natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Microsoft finds support just below today's level at $286.22. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $277.01 and $259.43.

In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $7.78 between high and low, or 2.61%. For the last week the stock has had a daily average volatility of 1.94%.

The Microsoft stock is overbought on RSI14 and lies in the upper part of the trend. Normally this may pose a good selling opportunity for the short-term trader, but some stocks may go long and hard while being overbought and the RSI is still moving upwards. Regardless, the high RSI together with the trend position increases the risk and higher daily movements (volatility) should be expected. A correction down in the nearby future seems very likely, and it is of great importance that the stock manages to break the trend before that occurs.

Microsoft holds several positive signals and is within a strong rising trend. As the old saying says, "Let the trend be your friend.'". We therefore consider it to be a good choice at these current levels and we are expecting further gains during the next 3 months.