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RSI low/high Values: [ 25 - 75 ]
* StockInvest.us uses dynamically calculated RSI max/min levels to determine when stock is oversold or overbought based on historical behavior.
AI Analysis of MSFT
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Microsoft stock price ended at $445.70 on Thursday, after losing 0.143%.
(Updated on Jun 20, 2024)

Buy or Hold candidate since May 14, 2024 Gain 7.00% PDF

The Microsoft stock price fell by -0.143% on the last day (Thursday, 20th Jun 2024) from $446.34 to $445.70. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.19% from a day low at $441.28 to a day high of $446.53. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 5.12% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 3 million shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 20 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $8.80 billion.

The stock lies in the upper part of a wide and weak rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break-up at the top trend line at $448.90 will firstly indicate a stronger rate of rising. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 3.82% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $413.86 and $466.04 at the end of this 3-month period.

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MSFT Signals & Forecast

The Microsoft stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $442.61 and $423.26. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, June 17, 2024, and so far it has fallen -0.595%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Microsoft stock

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $415.13 and $406.32. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Microsoft finds support just below today's level at $415.13. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $406.32 and $399.04.

This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved $5.25 (1.19%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.41%.

The Microsoft stock is overbought on RSI14 and lies in the upper part of the trend. Normally this may pose a good selling opportunity for the short-term trader, but some stocks may go long and hard while being overbought. Regardless, the high RSI together with the trend position increases the risk and higher daily movements (volatility) should be expected. A correction down in the nearby future seems very likely and it is of great importance that the stock manages to break the trend before that occurs.

Our recommended stop-loss: $435.29 (-2.34%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. The RSI14 is 88 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 12 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (MSFT) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 21st

For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 21st we expect Microsoft Corporation to open at $444.50, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $438.78 and $452.62, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$6.92 (+/-1.55%) up or down from last closing price. If Microsoft Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.10% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $446.34 (0.14%) than the support at $415.13 (6.86%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is Microsoft Corporation stock A Buy?

Microsoft holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.

Current score: 0.885 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged

Predicted Opening Price for Microsoft Corporation of Friday, June 21, 2024

Fair opening price June 21, 2024 Current price
$444.50 ( 0.268%) $445.70

The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.

Trading levels for MSFT

Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels

Level Price
R3 449.75 0.91%
R2 447.75 0.459%
R1 446.51 0.181%
Price 445.70
S1 442.50 -0.718%
S2 441.26 -1.00%
S3 439.25 -1.45%

Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels

Level Price
R3 0 -
R2 448.37 0.599%
R1 446.34 0.144%
Price 445.70
S1 415.13 -6.86%
S2 406.32 -8.84%
S3 399.04 -10.47%

MSFT Dividend Payout History


# Declaration Date Ex-Date Pay Date Amount Yield
1 Aug 15, 2024 Aug 15, 2024 Sep 12, 2024 $0.750 0.168%
2 Mar 12, 2024 May 15, 2024 Jun 13, 2024 $0.750 0.170%
3 Nov 28, 2023 Feb 14, 2024 Mar 14, 2024 $0.750 0.176%
4 Sep 19, 2023 Nov 15, 2023 Dec 14, 2023 $0.750 0.205%
5 Jun 13, 2023 Aug 16, 2023 Sep 14, 2023 $0.680 0.201%

FAQ

What is the symbol for Microsoft Stock and on which exchange is it traded?
The symbol for Microsoft is MSFT and it is traded on the NASDAQ (NASDAQ Stock Exchange).

Should I buy or sell Microsoft Stock?
Microsoft holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.

How to buy Microsoft Stock?
Microsoft Stock can be purchased through just about any brokerage firm, including online brokerage services.
Click here for our free guide on how to buy Microsoft Stock.

What's the current price of Microsoft Stock?
As of the end of day on the Jun 20, 2024, the price of an Microsoft (MSFT) share was $445.70.

What is the 52-week high and low for Microsoft Stock?
The 52-week high for Microsoft Stock is $450.93 and the 52-week low is $309.45.

What is the market capitalization of Microsoft Stock?
As of the Jun 20, 2024, the market capitalization of Microsoft is 3.317T.

When is the next earnings date for Microsoft?
The upcoming earnings date for Microsoft is Jul 23, 2024.
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About Microsoft Corporation

Microsoft Microsoft Corporation develops, licenses, and supports software, services, devices, and solutions worldwide. Its Productivity and Business Processes segment offers Office, Exchange, SharePoint, Microsoft Teams, Office 365 Security and Compliance, and Skype for Business, as well as related Client Access Licenses (CAL); Skype, Outlook.com, OneDrive, and LinkedIn; and Dynamics 365, a set of cloud-based and on-premises business solutions for organiza... MSFT Profile

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