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Microsoft stock price ended at $477.40 on Friday, after losing 0.591%
(Updated on Jun 20, 2025)
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 34.91% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $600.85 and $663.77 at the end of this 3-month period.

MSFT Signals & Forecast
The Microsoft stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $477.32 and $457.79. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, June 18, 2025, and so far it has fallen -0.591%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Microsoft stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $425.40 and $390.49. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Microsoft finds support just below today's level at $425.40. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $390.49 and $359.84.
This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved $6.56 (1.38%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.26%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $464.20 (-2.76%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 1 day ago.)
Trading Expectations (MSFT) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 23rd
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 23rd we expect Microsoft Corporation to open at $479.24, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $470.63 and $484.17, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$6.77 (+/-1.42%) up or down from last closing price. If Microsoft Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.84% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $478.87 (0.31%) than the support at $425.40 (10.89%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Dividend Warning For MSFT
Dividend coming up for MSFT: Ex-dividend date (Thursday 21st August, 2025) is 61 days away. The dividend is $0.83.Is Microsoft Corporation stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for Microsoft stock to perform well in the short-term.
Current score:
1.312
Buy Candidate
Unchanged
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on June 23, 2025 - $479.24 ( 0.385%).
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MSFT Performance
Trading levels for MSFT
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |
---|---|---|
R3 | 485.80 | 1.76% |
R2 | 483.29 | 1.23% |
R1 | 481.75 | 0.91% |
Price | 477.40 | |
S1 | 476.73 | -0.139% |
S2 | 475.19 | -0.464% |
S3 | 472.68 | -0.99% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |
---|---|---|
R3 | 480.24 | 0.595% |
R2 | 479.14 | 0.364% |
R1 | 478.87 | 0.308% |
Price | 477.40 | |
S1 | 425.40 | -10.89% |
S2 | 390.49 | -18.20% |
S3 | 359.84 | -24.63% |
MSFT Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Jun 10, 2025 | Aug 21, 2025 | Sep 11, 2025 | $0.83 | 0.174% |
2 | Mar 11, 2025 | May 15, 2025 | Jun 12, 2025 | $0.83 | 0.181% |
3 | Dec 03, 2024 | Feb 20, 2025 | Mar 13, 2025 | $0.83 | 0.219% |
4 | Nov 21, 2024 | Nov 21, 2024 | Dec 12, 2024 | $0.83 | 0.185% |
5 | Aug 15, 2024 | Aug 15, 2024 | Sep 12, 2024 | $0.750 | 0.176% |
FAQ
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