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$310.20 (1.77%)

Volume: 40M

Closed: Jan 14, 2022

Hollow Logo Score: 1.177

Microsoft Stock Forecast

$310.20 (1.77%)

Volume: 40M

Closed: Jan 14, 2022

Score Hollow Logo 1.177
Which way will MSFT go? Request
Fri, Jan 14, 2022 Buy Candidate Upgraded
Stop-loss: $293.37 (-5.43%)
Earnings Date: Jan 25, 2022
Key Stats
P/E Ratio 34.31
Beta 1.19
Trailing Dividend Rate 0.74% ($2.29)
Next Dividend Date Feb 16, 2022
* StockInvest.us uses dynamically calculated RSI max/min levels to determine when stock is oversold or overbought based on historical behavior.
RSImin/max Values: [ 30 - 75 ] The Microsoft stock currently holds an RSI14 at 20 and is oversold on RSI14. The stock being oversold is no guarantee for instant reaction up as some stocks may be oversold for a long time. It is important to review the previous RSI-history to get an indication of the RSI-sensitiveness.

Microsoft stock upgraded from Hold/Accumulate to Buy Candidate after Friday trading session.
(Updated on Jan 14, 2022)

Buy or Hold candidate since 2022-01-12 Loss -2.54% PDF

The Microsoft stock price gained 1.77% on the last trading day (Friday, 14th Jan 2022), rising from $304.80 to $310.20. During the day the stock fluctuated 2.33% from a day low at $303.75 to a day high of $310.82. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -7.77% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -6 million shares and in total, 40 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $12.30 billion. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.

The stock is at the lower part of a wide and horizontal trend in the short term, and normally this may pose a good buying opportunity, though a breakdown through the bottom trend line at $304.86 will give a strong sell signal and a trend shift may be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Microsoft stock with a 90% probability to be traded between $308.37 and $349.45 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and stocks seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Stocks turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.

Signals & Forecast

The Microsoft stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term moving averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $312.92 and $328.26. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some positive signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Thursday, January 13, 2022, and so far it has risen 1.77%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely.

Special Signal Notification

Double Top Formation

Double Top Formation A sell signal from a double top formation was found on Monday, December 27, 2021 with a target of $328.08. Despite whether the objective of the signal formation has been reached the stock may continue to fall.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss

Microsoft finds support from accumulated volume at $310.11 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $7.07 between high and low, or 2.33%. For the last week, the stock has had a daily average volatility of 3.07%.

Microsoft is oversold on RSI14 (20). Some stocks may drop long and hard while being oversold on RSI before turning, which increases the general risk.

Our recommended stop-loss: $293.37 (-5.43%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. Low RSI14 is 20 which reduces the risk some. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 1 days ago.)

Is Microsoft Corporation stock A Buy?

Several of the signals/indicators are negative, and we believe that this will affect on the development for the next days and maybe possible weeks. However, over time, we think that today's level holds a possible buying opportunity and that the price will be higher during or at the end of this 3-month period. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Buy candidate.

Current score: 1.177

Buy Candidate Upgraded

Insiders are very negative selling more shares than they are buying in Microsoft

In the last 100 trades there were 408.23 thousand shares bought and 1.46 million shares sold. The last trade was done 35 days ago by Jolla Alice L. who bough 4.48 thousand shares. In general the insiders are selling more stocks than they buy. There can be a variety of reasons for this, but in general it can be considered as a negative signal.

Predicted Opening Price for Microsoft Corporation of Tuesday, January 18, 2022

The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and the closing price.

Fair opening price January 18, 2022 Current price
$308.26 $310.20 (Overvalued)

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Analyst Ratings

On Jan 12, 2022 "BMO Capital Markets" gave "$355.00 - $360.00" rating for MSFT. The price target was set to $317.45+0.8%.

Volatility and Risk
Daily Average Volatility: 3.07 %
Overall Risk: Very High High Medium Low Very Low
3.07 %
Daily Average Volatility
Overall Risk

Very High
Very Low

Support & Resistance

Resistance: $323.17
Price: $310.20
Support: $310.11

MSFT Insider Trading Show all Trades



Last 100 transactions
Buy: 408 229 | Sell: 1 461 317 (Shares)
Date Action Amount Person Type
Dec 15, 2021 Buy 4 483 Jolla Alice L. Common Stock
Dec 09, 2021 Buy 7 Warrior Padmasree Restricted Stock Units
Dec 09, 2021 Buy 16 Pritzker Penny S Restricted Stock Units
Dec 09, 2021 Buy 74 Thompson John Wendell Restricted Stock Units
Dec 09, 2021 Buy 48 Thompson John Wendell Restricted Stock Units
Show all Insider Trades


Last 100 transactions
Buy: 408 229 | Sell: 1 461 317 (Shares)

Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels

Level Price Change
Resistance 315.33 1.65 %
312.63 0.78 %
310.96 0.24 %
Current price: 310.20
Support 305.56 -1.50 %
303.89 -2.04 %
301.19 -2.91 %

Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels

Level Price Chg %
Resistance 328.34 5.85 %
323.80 4.38 %
323.17 4.18 %
Current price 310.20
Support 310.11 -0.0290%
304.80 -1.74%
304.21 -1.93%

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About Microsoft Corporation

Microsoft Microsoft Corporation, a technology company, develops, licenses, and supports software products, services, and devices worldwide. The company’s Productivity and Business Processes segment offers Office 365 commercial products and services for businesses, including Office, Exchange, SharePoint, and Skype, as well as related Client Access Licenses (CALs); Office 365 consumer services, such as Skype, Outlook.com, and OneDrive; and Dynamics business... Read more

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