Thu 22'nd Mar 2018
The Providence Service Corporation Stock Analysis
Technical stock analysis for Thu 22'nd Mar 2018
The Providence Service Corporation fell by -1.03% in the last day from $69.93 to $69.21 The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 6.41% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased in the last day by 41 159 shares, but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly for the next couple of days. In total, 93 912 shares bought and sold for approximately $6.50 million.
|Shorts||3.19% ( 2018-02-28 )|
The Providence Service Corporation lies in the middle of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 11.51% during the next 3 months and, with 90% probability hold a price between $72.53 and $83.53 at the end of this period.
The Providence Service Corporation holds a sales signal from the short-term moving average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term moving average at approximately $69.57. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $65.67. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sales signal. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday March 14, 2018, which indicates further gains until a new top pivot has been found. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
RSI14 is 63 and the stock is currently not being overbought or oversold
Support & Resistance
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $65.04 and $62.44. On the upside the stock meets some resistance just above today's level from accumulated volume at $69.73, $70.44 and $73.86.
There is natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, The Providence Service Corporation finds support just below today's level at $65.04. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $62.44 and $60.19. The stock is about to test the resistance from accumulated volume at $69.73 and this may cause the stock to take a minor break or get into a more sideways move for a few days.
This stock may move much during a day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $1.55 between high and low, or 2.25%. For the last week, the stock has had a daily average volatility of 1.90%.
Our recommended stoploss: $64.92 (-6.20%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a buy signal from pivot bottom found 6 days ago.)
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