MainSource Financial Group Fund Forecast
MainSource Financial Group fund downgraded to Hold/Accumulate
(Updated on Apr 11, 2018)
No changes to the price of MainSource Financial Group fund on the last trading day (Wednesday, 11th Apr 2018). During the last trading day the fund fluctuated 0% from a day low at $40.65 to a day high of $40.65. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 4.1% gain for the last 2 weeks.
The fund lies in the upper part of a wide and weak rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break-up at the top trend line at $41.40 will firstly indicate a stronger rate of rising. Given the current short-term trend, the fund is expected to rise 2.91% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $38.19 and $42.61 at the end of this 3-month period.
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MSFG Signals & Forecast
The MainSource Financial Group fund holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $40.65 and $39.64. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, April 10, 2018, and so far it has fallen 0%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell on the last day without any changes to the price. This does not cause any direct divergence but may be an early warning and a possible "turning point". The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for MainSource Financial Group fund
MainSource Financial Group finds support from accumulated volume at $39.05 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the fund tends to have very controlled movements and therefore the general risk is considered very low. However, be aware of low or falling volume and make sure to keep an eye on the fund During the last day, the fund moved $0 between high and low, or 0%. For the last week the fund has had daily average volatility of 0%
Our recommended stop-loss: $39.08 (-3.86%) (This fund has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 1 day ago.)
Trading Expectations (MSFG) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 12th
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 12th we expect MainSource Financial Group to open at $40.65, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $40.06 and $41.24, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.589 (+/-1.45%) up or down from last closing price. If MainSource Financial Group takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.90% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no resistance above and support from accumulated volume @ $39.05, some $1.60 (3.94%) from the current price of $40.65, our system finds the risk reward attractive.
Is MainSource Financial Group fund A Buy?
MainSource Financial Group holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this fund since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.560 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for MainSource Financial Group of Thursday, April 12, 2018
Fair opening price April 12, 2018 | Current price |
---|---|
$40.65 ( 0%) | $40.65 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for MSFG
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 40.65 | . | |
R2 | 40.65 | . | ||
R1 | 40.65 | . | ||
Current price: | 40.65 | |||
Support | S1 | 40.65 | . | |
S2 | 40.65 | . | ||
S3 | 40.65 | . |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 0 | . | |
R2 | 0 | . | ||
R1 | 0 | . | ||
Current price | 40.65 | |||
Support | S1 | 39.05 | -3.94% | |
S2 | 38.38 | -5.58% | ||
S3 | 38.00 | -6.52% |
FAQ
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