Twilio Stock Forecast
Stronger technical forecast for Twilio stock price after Friday trading.
(Updated on Apr 26, 2024)
The Twilio stock price gained 1.47% on the last trading day (Friday, 26th Apr 2024), rising from $60.01 to $60.89. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.26% from a day low at $60.49 to a day high of $61.25. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 0.07% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -668 thousand shares and in total, 2 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $95.27 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock lies in the middle of a very wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -12.77% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $42.91 and $56.76 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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TWLO Signals & Forecast
The Twilio stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock, but the stock has a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $59.54 and $60.76. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, February 21, 2024, and so far it has risen 8.25%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Twilio stock
Twilio finds support from accumulated volume at $58.59 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved $0.760 (1.26%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.09%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $58.73 (-3.54%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 46 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (TWLO) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 29th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 29th we expect Twilio Inc to open at $60.88, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $59.34 and $62.44, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.55 (+/-2.55%) up or down from last closing price. If Twilio Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.10% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $61.15 (0.43%) than the support at $58.59 (3.78%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Twilio Inc stock A Buy?
Twilio holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.630 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Twilio Inc of Monday, April 29, 2024
| Fair opening price April 29, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $60.88 ( 0.0219%) | $60.89 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for TWLO
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 61.64 | 1.23 % | |
| R2 | 61.35 | 0.749 % | ||
| R1 | 61.17 | 0.455 % | ||
| Current price: | 60.89 | |||
| Support | S1 | 60.59 | -0.499 % | |
| S2 | 60.41 | -0.793 % | ||
| S3 | 60.12 | -1.27 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 72.27 | 18.69 % | |
| R2 | 61.16 | 0.443 % | ||
| R1 | 61.15 | 0.427 % | ||
| Current price | 60.89 | |||
| Support | S1 | 58.59 | -3.78% | |
| S2 | 56.68 | -6.91% | ||
| S3 | 56.66 | -6.95% |
FAQ
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