Horizon Bancorp (IN) Stock Forecast
Green day on Friday for Horizon Bancorp (IN)
(Updated on May 17, 2024)
The Horizon Bancorp (IN) stock price gained 0.0786% on the last trading day (Friday, 17th May 2024), rising from $12.73 to $12.74. It has now gained 3 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.65% from a day low at $12.70 to a day high of $12.91. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 2.17% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -1 thousand shares and in total, 95 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $1.21 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stockis at the upper part of a wide and horizontal trend and normally this may pose a good selling opportunity but a break-up through the top trend line at $12.91 will give a strong buy signal and a trend shift could be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Horizon Bancorp (IN) stock with a 90% probability to be traded between $11.48 and $13.07 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and stocks seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Stocks turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
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HBNC Signals & Forecast
The Horizon Bancorp (IN) stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $12.63 and $12.07. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, April 17, 2024, and so far it has risen 12.84%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. Volume fell during the last trading day while the price increased. This causes a divergence and may be considered as an early warning, but it may also not.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Horizon Bancorp (IN) stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $12.06 and $11.88. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Horizon Bancorp (IN) finds support just below today's level at $12.06. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $11.88 and $11.85.
This stock has average movements during the day, but be aware of low or falling volume as this increases the risk. During the last day, the stock moved $0.210 between high and low, or 1.65%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.29%.
The Horizon Bancorp (IN) stock is overbought on RSI14 and lies in the upper part of the trend. Normally this may pose a good selling opportunity for the short-term trader, but some stocks may go long and hard while being overbought and the RSI is still moving upwards. Regardless, the high RSI together with the trend position increases the risk and higher daily movements (volatility) should be expected. A correction down in the nearby future seems very likely, and it is of great importance that the stock manages to break the trend before that occurs.
Our recommended stop-loss: $12.18 (-4.37%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. The RSI14 is 81 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 22 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (HBNC) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 20th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 20th we expect Horizon Bancorp (IN) to open at $12.78, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $12.41 and $13.07, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.331 (+/-2.60%) up or down from last closing price. If Horizon Bancorp (IN) takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.20% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $12.83 (0.71%) than the support at $12.06 (5.34%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Horizon Bancorp (IN) stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity, as there is a fair chance for Horizon Bancorp (IN) stock to perform well in the short-term period.
Current score: 4.107 Buy Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Horizon Bancorp (IN) of Monday, May 20, 2024
Fair opening price May 20, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$12.78 ( 0.340%) | $12.74 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for HBNC
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 12.99 | 1.99 % | |
R2 | 12.91 | 1.36 % | ||
R1 | 12.86 | 0.97 % | ||
Current price: | 12.74 | |||
Support | S1 | 12.70 | -0.290 % | |
S2 | 12.65 | -0.679 % | ||
S3 | 12.57 | -1.31 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 0 | . | |
R2 | 0 | . | ||
R1 | 12.83 | 0.706 % | ||
Current price | 12.74 | |||
Support | S1 | 12.06 | -5.34% | |
S2 | 11.88 | -6.75% | ||
S3 | 11.85 | -6.99% |
HBNC Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Mar 19, 2024 | Apr 04, 2024 | Apr 19, 2024 | $0.160 | 1.35% |
2 | Dec 19, 2023 | Jan 04, 2024 | Jan 19, 2024 | $0.160 | 1.19% |
3 | Sep 19, 2023 | Oct 05, 2023 | Oct 20, 2023 | $0.160 | 1.59% |
4 | Jun 20, 2023 | Jul 06, 2023 | Jul 21, 2023 | $0.160 | 1.41% |
5 | Mar 21, 2023 | Apr 05, 2023 | Jul 21, 2023 | $0.160 | 1.41% |
FAQ
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