Triumph Group Inc Stock Forecast
Triumph Group Inc stock price ended at $14.21 on Tuesday, after losing 1.11%.
(Updated on May 07, 2024)
The Triumph Group Inc stock price fell by -1.11% on the last day (Tuesday, 7th May 2024) from $14.37 to $14.21. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.32% from a day low at $14.02 to a day high of $14.49. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 6.68% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -221 thousand shares and in total, 437 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $6.21 million.
The stock lies the upper part of a wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break up at the top trend line at $14.48 will firstly indicate a slower falling rate, but may be the first sign of a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -8.10% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $11.38 and $13.30 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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TGI Signals & Forecast
The Triumph Group Inc stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock, but the stock has a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $13.77 and $13.87. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, May 06, 2024, and so far it has fallen -1.11%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Triumph Group Inc stock
Triumph Group Inc finds support from accumulated volume at $14.20 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.466 between high and low, or 3.32%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.52%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $13.63 (-4.08%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 1 day ago.)
Trading Expectations (TGI) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 8th
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 8th we expect Triumph Group Inc to open at $14.24, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $13.71 and $14.71, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.501 (+/-3.52%) up or down from last closing price. If Triumph Group Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 7.04% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $14.20 (0.07%) than the resistance at $14.36 (1.06%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Triumph Group Inc stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals are positive, despite the stock being in a falling trend, we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for stock to perform well in the short-term.
Current score: 2.096 Buy Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Triumph Group Inc of Wednesday, May 8, 2024
| Fair opening price May 8, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $14.24 ( 0.221%) | $14.21 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for TGI
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 14.71 | 3.50 % | |
| R2 | 14.53 | 2.25 % | ||
| R1 | 14.42 | 1.47 % | ||
| Current price: | 14.21 | |||
| Support | S1 | 14.06 | -1.03 % | |
| S2 | 13.95 | -1.81 % | ||
| S3 | 13.78 | -3.06 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 15.01 | 5.63 % | |
| R2 | 14.67 | 3.24 % | ||
| R1 | 14.36 | 1.06 % | ||
| Current price | 14.21 | |||
| Support | S1 | 14.20 | -0.0704% | |
| S2 | 13.90 | -2.18% | ||
| S3 | 13.72 | -3.45% |
TGI Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feb 12, 2020 | Feb 28, 2020 | Mar 16, 2020 | $0.0400 | 0.614% |
| 2 | Nov 14, 2019 | Nov 29, 2019 | Dec 16, 2019 | $0.0400 | 0.148% |
| 3 | Aug 19, 2019 | Aug 29, 2019 | Sep 13, 2019 | $0.0400 | 0.158% |
| 4 | May 20, 2019 | May 30, 2019 | Jun 15, 2019 | $0.0400 | 0.200% |
| 5 | Feb 21, 2019 | Feb 28, 2019 | Mar 15, 2019 | $0.0400 | 0.192% |
FAQ
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