DXC Technology's Technical and Fundamental Analysis: Potential for Growth Despite Caution
Summary
DXC Technology (DXC) closed at $21.16 on October 3, 2023, with potential for the price to rise due to positive analyst recommendations and upcoming earnings announcement, but caution is advised due to volatility, overbought situation, and negative earnings.
Technical Analysis
DXC Technology Company (Ticker: DXC) last closed at $21.16 on October 3, 2023, presenting a minor increase of 0.01 (0.05%) in comparison to the previously recorded trading day. The submitted data logs the stock's lowest and highest prices at $20.87 and $21.51, respectively. For the larger picture, the stock reached its yearly peak at $30.27 and descended to a yearly low of $18.61, revealing a moderate degree of volatility.
It is noticed that the company's 50-day moving average, recorded at $21.61, is slightly higher than the last close price, indicating potential downward pressure. On the other hand, the company's 200-day moving average stands at $25.09, suggesting a negative market sentiment over this period.
The relative strength index (RSI) is currently reported at 70, which typically highlights an overbought situation and can foreshadow a possible trend reversal. Additionally, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for the previous three months registers a negative figure of -0.11, confirming bearish momentum in the stock. The Average True Range (ATR), an indicator of market volatility, is logged at 2.65.
Fundamental Analysis
DXC Technology has a market capitalization of $4.34 billion, derived from 205.17 million outstanding shares. Its negative EPS of -2.77 and a PE ratio of -7.64 point towards the company's inability to turn a profit. Such results may be a cause of concern among potential investors.
However, the company's discounted cash flow (DCF) stands at $29.46, suggesting that the stock may be undervalued at the current market price.
Notably, DXC Technology is scheduled to announce its earnings on November 1, 2023. This event could cause significant movement in the price of the stock, depending on the results compared to analysts' expectations.
Analyst Ratings and Targets
The company received five 'buy' recommendations and three 'hold' responses, with zero 'sell' recommendations. This reveals an overall 'Buy' consensus amongst analysts.
Furthermore, analysts forecast a high target price of $48, a low target of $30, and a median target of $35, significantly higher than the current price. These suggest an expected upward trajectory in the future.
Recent News
A noteworthy event is DXC Technology's removal from the S&P 500 to be replaced by Veralto Corp., a spin-off from Danaher Corp. Subsequently, DXC Technology will join the S&P SmallCap 600, replacing Ebix Inc. The impact of this change is yet to be fully realized.
Prediction and Evaluation
Given the relatively high DCF, the upcoming earnings announcement, and the positive analyst recommendations, there is potential for the price of DXC Technology to rise both tomorrow, October 4, 2023, and in the upcoming week.
The volatility suggested by the ATR, the overbought situation indicated by the RSI, and the negative earnings as signaled by the EPS and PE ratio are signs of caution. Potential investors are advised to consider these factors before making a decision.
In consideration of the data provided, DXC Technology is currently evaluated as a 'Hold.' While there are promising aspects for the stock, cautious consideration is suggested due to the mentioned risks and uncertainties.
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