High volatility in BOIL ETF price on Thursday which ended trading at $6.10
The BOIL ETF price fell by -2.87% on the last day (Thursday, 2nd Feb 2023) from $6.28 to $6.10. It has now fallen 3 days in a row. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 13.50% from a day low at $6.00 to a day high of $6.81. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days and is down by -37.56% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the ETF, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the ETF. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -21 million shares and in total, 63 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $383.93 million.
The ETF lies in the middle of a very wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled.Due to the high volatility and the trend direction we are not able to give forecast range for this stock. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The BOIL ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term moving averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $7.48 and $16.46. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, December 13, 2022, and so far it has fallen -85.12%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the ETF may perform very badly in the next couple of days.
This ETF may move very much during the day (volatility) and with a very large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this ETF is considered to be "very high risk". During the last day, the ETF moved $0.81 between high and low, or 13.50%. For the last week, the ETF has had daily average volatility of 11.37%.
BOIL is oversold on RSI14 (24). Some ETFS may drop long and hard while being oversold on RSI before turning, which increases the general risk.
BOIL holds several negative signals and is within a very wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this ETF.
Check full BOIL forecast and analysis here.
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