Intel stock upgraded from Hold/Accumulate to Buy Candidate after Thursday trading session

The Intel stock price gained 1.61% on the last trading day (Thursday, 26th Sep 2024), rising from $23.54 to $23.92. It has now gained 6 days in a row. It is not often that stock manage to gain so many days in a row, and falls for a day or two should be expected. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 4.94% from a day low at $23.27 to a day high of $24.42. The price has risen in 9 of the last 10 days and is up by 23.55% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -16 million shares and in total, 92 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $2.20 billion. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.

On Sep 23, 2024, it was reported that Benchmark gave INTC a "Buy" grade with a "hold" action.

Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -40.42% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $9.11 and $14.25 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.

Mostly positive signals in the chart today. The Intel stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $22.37 and $20.62. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, August 30, 2024, and so far it has risen 8.53%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely.

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $21.84 and $21.48.There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Intel finds support just below today's level at $21.84. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $21.48 and $21.47.

This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $1.15 between high and low, or 4.94%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 6.33%.

The Intel stock is overbought on RSI14 and lies in the upper part of the trend. Normally this may pose a good selling opportunity for the short-term trader, but some stock may go long and hard while being overbought. Regardless, the high RSI together with the trend position increases the risk and higher daily movements (volatility) should be expected. A correction down in the nearby future seems very likely and it is of great importance that the stock manages to break the trend before that occurs.Since the Intel has been rising for 6 days in a row, the risk over the next couple of days has increased. We don't expect a major reaction as the stock is in very good shape technically, and therefore hold a positive evaluation despite the very short term risk.

Several short-term signals are positive, despite the stock being in a falling trend, we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for stock to perform well in the short-term. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Buy candidate.