RIOT Stock Shows Bullish Trend, But Fundamental Metrics Raise Concerns, 2 months ago

Riot Blockchain Technical Analysis

Looking at Riot Blockchain, Inc. (ticker: RIOT), the company's stock has shown a significant uptrend with the previous trading day closing at $17.78, a substantial gain of 6.15%. This positive move surpasses both the 50-day and 200-day moving averages of $11.94 and $11.85, respectively, indicating considerable bullish sentiment. The recent price movement positions the stock above these averages, a typically positive technical indicator.

The stock's Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 68, which approaches the overbought threshold of 70. This suggests that the stock may be nearing overextended conditions. However, it should be noted that RSI can remain elevated during strong trends.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), at 1.89, is positive, signaling that the short-term price momentum is stronger than the long-term momentum and could imply continued upward movement.

RIOT's Average True Range (ATR) indicates a high level of volatility with a value of approximately $6.43, which could suggest potential for significant price movement in the upcoming trading sessions.

Given there's no immediate resistance level identified and with strong support near $16.45, the technical outlook hints at the potential for the continuation of the uptrend. However, traders should be mindful of the stop-loss level set at $17.13, especially considering the fast-rising price and inherent volatility in the cryptocurrency sector which the company is tied to.

Fundamental Analysis

From a fundamental perspective, RIOT's market capitalization is noteworthy at approximately $3.67 billion. The volume on the last trading day was significantly higher than the average volume, which may indicate strong investor interest.

Riot Blockchain Despite these positives, the company's earnings per share (EPS) show a loss at -$1.8, and the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is in the negative zone at -9.88, which are concerning metrics for profitability. This might leave prospective investors cautious as it suggests that Riot Blockchain is not currently generating profit and could potentially dilute its value if additional funding is pursued.

The downside potential is echoed in the analyst target consensus, which sets a median target of $10.50, considerably lower than the current trading price. However, it's crucial to note that the high target sits at $12 and the low at $9, both of which are under the recent trading price.

Investor sentiment seems to be bullish given the "Buy" consensus, but the price targets indicate analysts believe the stock is currently overvalued.

The upcoming earnings announcement on 02/29/2024 will be a significant event to provide more insight into the company's financial health and future prospects.

Recent news indicates a broader market bullishness and specific optimism about the sector RIOT operates in. Bitcoin's performance positively impacts blockchain technology companies like RIOT, and given Bitcoin's recent surge, investors may be expecting higher performance from Riot in correlation with the cryptocurrency market.

Stock Performance Prediction

For the next trading day on December 26, 2023, and the upcoming week, technical indicators point to possible continued bullishness, riding on the general market optimism and the recent crypto rally. However, the overbought RSI levels suggest traders should watch for signs of a potential pullback.

Overall Evaluation

Based on the convergence of the technical and fundamental outlooks, RIOT’s stock is deemed a "Hold" with a note of caution. The bullish sentiment on technical charts is counterbalanced by the lackluster fundamental indicators and the divergence between the current price and analyst price targets. Investors should be mindful of the volatility inherent in the cryptocurrency-related stocks and the potential for sudden market sentiment shifts that could significantly influence the stock's performance.

Check full Riot Blockchain forecast and analysis here.