Suncor Energy Shows Strong Potential for Growth with Undervalued Stock
Summary
Suncor Energy Inc. (SU) is considered a potentially undervalued stock with robust fundamentals and an improving technical analysis outlook, suggesting strong potential for future market success, despite recent softer profits and it is recommended as a Buy.
Introduction
Suncor Energy Inc. (Ticker: SU) is a Canadian integrated oil company listed on the NYSE. The company is known for its efficient operations, substantial oil reserves, and future growth plans. This report carries out a technical and fundamental analysis of Suncor Energy based on available data as of the last close of $32.63 on August 17, 2023.
Fundamental Analysis
Suncor Energy shows positive fundamental statistics with an EPS of $4.54 and PE ratio of 7.19. A PE ratio less than 10 can often be interpreted as a value buy as it implies the earnings return on investment is above 10%. This comes in light of a market capitalization of $42.73 billion.
Recent news suggests Suncor Energy has substantial cash flow with clear plans to reward shareholders through buybacks. This suggests potential future growth, solid operational planning and a strong focus on shareholder returns. The company is even seen as undervalued with a massive buyback potential and a 5% dividend yield, providing an attractive long-term investment opportunity. However, the company also reported softer profits this quarter, leading to some caution in their forecast.
The DCF metric, which indicates the company’s estimated intrinsic value, is $34.05, higher than the current price. This indicates that the stock is somewhat undervalued, providing a potential buying opportunity.
Regarding analyst recommendations, Suncor Energy enjoys a consensus "Buy" rating. Out of a total of seven analyst ratings, six recommended a "buy" and one recommended a "hold". This consensus suggests a generally optimistic outlook.
Technical Analysis
The stock price closed at $32.63, with a 2.45% increase, showing a bullish trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI14) stands at 66, indicating the stock is approaching overbought territory. The 50-day moving average and 200-day moving average stand at $30.02 and $31.47 respectively. The stock is trading above both these averages, illustrating a bullish trend in the short term.
The Average True Range (ATR) is at 2.42, suggesting that the stock is somewhat volatile. The MACD (3-month) is at 0.75 revealing a bullish sentiment in the market.
The absence of a resistance level indicates that there might be potential for an uptrend, and a support level has been identified at $29.48. Should the stock price fall to this level, it could represent a potential buying opportunity. The stop-loss level stands at $31.43, providing a safe exit point in case the stock turns bearish.
Stock Price Prediction
The consensus analyst target for SU is $36.54 which indicates a positive upward movement in the future from the last close. The trading volume of 7.47 million is above the average volume of 4.49 million, suggesting robust trading activity.
Evaluation
Suncor Energy Inc. (SU) is a potentially undervalued stock with robust fundamentals and an improving technical analysis outlook. The company’s high EPS, combined with the positive analyst ratings and consensus suggest strong potential for future market success, despite recent softer profits.
Therefore, based on the data provided and the analyst ratings, SU is considered a Buy. This is premised on its undervalued status, substantial buyback potential, and recently announced plans for future growth. However, investors should be mindful of the recent dip in earnings and ensure they invest with a well-thought-out plan.
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