New York Mortgage Trust Stock Forecast
Red day on Thursday for New York Mortgage Trust stock after losing 1.83%
(Updated on Apr 25, 2024)
The New York Mortgage Trust stock price fell by -1.83% on the last day (Thursday, 25th Apr 2024) from $7.10 to $6.97. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.16% from a day low at $6.97 to a day high of $7.12. The price has fallen in 5 of the last 10 days and is down by -1.41% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 213 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 675 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $4.71 million.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -9.96% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $5.97 and $6.88 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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NYMT Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, April 16, 2024, and so far it has risen 3.57%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The New York Mortgage Trust stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $6.99 and $7.11. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for New York Mortgage Trust stock
New York Mortgage Trust finds support from accumulated volume at $6.96 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved $0.151 (2.16%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.25%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (NYMT) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 26th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 26th we expect New York Mortgage Trust to open at $7.02, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $6.79 and $7.15, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.178 (+/-2.56%) up or down from last closing price. If New York Mortgage Trust takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.11% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $6.96 (0.14%) than the resistance at $7.10 (1.87%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Earnings coming up
New York Mortgage Trust will release earnings AMC on Wednesday, May 01, 2024.The consensus among the analysts for the expected earnings (EPS) is $0.120. We will update the financials statements for New York Mortgage Trust, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 2.92% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is New York Mortgage Trust stock A Buy?
New York Mortgage Trust holds several negative signals and is within a wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock.
Current score: -2.795 Sell Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for New York Mortgage Trust of Friday, April 26, 2024
| Fair opening price April 26, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $7.02 ( 0.672%) | $6.97 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for NYMT
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 7.17 | 2.83 % | |
| R2 | 7.11 | 2.01 % | ||
| R1 | 7.07 | 1.50 % | ||
| Current price: | 6.97 | |||
| Support | S1 | 6.96 | -0.153 % | |
| S2 | 6.92 | -0.662 % | ||
| S3 | 6.87 | -1.49 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 7.21 | 3.44 % | |
| R2 | 7.20 | 3.30 % | ||
| R1 | 7.10 | 1.87 % | ||
| Current price | 6.97 | |||
| Support | S1 | 6.96 | -0.143% | |
| S2 | 6.95 | -0.287% | ||
| S3 | 6.82 | -2.15% |
NYMT Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mar 13, 2024 | Mar 22, 2024 | Apr 25, 2024 | $0.200 | 2.87% |
| 2 | Dec 14, 2023 | Dec 22, 2023 | Jan 26, 2024 | $0.200 | 2.39% |
| 3 | Sep 11, 2023 | Sep 20, 2023 | Oct 26, 2023 | $0.300 | 3.96% |
| 4 | Jun 06, 2023 | Jun 15, 2023 | Jul 26, 2023 | $0.300 | 2.86% |
| 5 | Mar 09, 2023 | Mar 17, 2023 | Apr 26, 2023 | $0.400 | 4.01% |
FAQ
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