Davis Select Financial ETF Forecast
Davis Select Financial ETF downgraded to Hold/Accumulate
(Updated on Apr 25, 2024)
The Davis Select Financial ETF price fell by -0.575% on the last day (Thursday, 25th Apr 2024) from $32.83 to $32.64. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.80% from a day low at $32.39 to a day high of $32.65. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 1.91% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the ETF, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the ETF. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -579 shares and in total, 6 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $188.89 thousand.
The ETF lies in the middle of a weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 7.28% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $33.71 and $36.50 at the end of this 3-month period.
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DFNL Signals & Forecast
The Davis Select Financial ETF holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock, but the ETF has a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $32.26 and $32.28. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, April 23, 2024, and so far it has fallen -0.800%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell along with the price during the last trading day, which is technical positive. One should, however, note that this ETF may have low liquidity in periods, which increases the general risk.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Davis Select Financial ETF
Davis Select Financial finds support from accumulated volume at $32.03 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have controlled movements and therefore the general risk is considered low. However, be aware of low or falling volume and make sure to keep an eye on the ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.260 between high and low, or 0.80%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.99%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $31.24 (-4.29%) (This ETF has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 2 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (DFNL) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 26th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 26th we expect Davis Select Financial ETF to open at $32.56, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $32.09 and $33.19, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.550 (+/-1.69%) up or down from last closing price. If Davis Select Financial ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.37% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $32.83 (0.58%) than the support at $32.03 (1.87%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Davis Select Financial ETF ETF A Buy?
Davis Select Financial holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: -0.070 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Davis Select Financial ETF of Friday, April 26, 2024
Fair opening price April 26, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$32.56 ( 0.245%) | $32.64 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for DFNL
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 32.82 | 0.551 % | |
R2 | 32.72 | 0.247 % | ||
R1 | 32.66 | 0.0592 % | ||
Current price: | 32.64 | |||
Support | S1 | 32.46 | -0.549 % | |
S2 | 32.40 | -0.737 % | ||
S3 | 32.30 | -1.04 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 32.90 | 0.81 % | |
R2 | 32.89 | 0.774 % | ||
R1 | 32.83 | 0.579 % | ||
Current price | 32.64 | |||
Support | S1 | 32.03 | -1.87% | |
S2 | 31.04 | -4.90% | ||
S3 | 30.67 | -6.03% |
DFNL Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Dec 27, 2023 | Dec 27, 2023 | Dec 27, 2023 | $0.704 | 2.34% |
2 | Dec 27, 2022 | Dec 28, 2022 | Dec 30, 2022 | $0.91 | 3.34% |
3 | Dec 28, 2021 | Dec 29, 2021 | Dec 31, 2021 | $0.749 | 2.45% |
4 | Dec 29, 2020 | Dec 29, 2020 | Dec 31, 2020 | $0.347 | 1.45% |
5 | Dec 27, 2019 | Dec 27, 2019 | Dec 31, 2019 | $0.642 | 2.52% |
FAQ
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