Maiden Holdings Ltd. 6.625% Notes due ETF Forecast
Maiden Holdings Ltd. 6.625% Notes due ETF downgraded to Hold/Accumulate
(Updated on Apr 25, 2024)
The Maiden Holdings Ltd. 6.625% Notes due ETF price fell by -1.65% on the last day (Thursday, 25th Apr 2024) from $16.40 to $16.13. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.38% from a day low at $15.92 to a day high of $16.14. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days but is still down by -0.83% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 1 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 2 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $36.13 thousand.
The ETF lies in the middle of a weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 2.27% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $16.15 and $17.72 at the end of this 3-month period.
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MHLA Signals & Forecast
There are mixed signals in the ETF today. The Maiden Holdings Ltd. 6.625% Notes due ETF holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the ETF giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $16.35. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the short-term average at $15.95. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Maiden Holdings Ltd. 6.625% Notes due gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs". The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, April 17, 2024, and so far it has risen 2.41%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Maiden Holdings Ltd. 6.625% Notes due ETF
Maiden Holdings Ltd. 6.625% Notes due finds support from accumulated volume at $16.00 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This ETF has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.220 between high and low, or 1.38%. For the last week, the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.47%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $15.41 (-4.44%) (This ETF has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 6 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (MHLA) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 26th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 26th we expect Maiden Holdings Ltd. 6.625% Notes due 2046 to open at $16.06, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $15.83 and $16.43, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.302 (+/-1.87%) up or down from last closing price. If Maiden Holdings Ltd. 6.625% Notes due 2046 takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.74% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $16.20 (0.43%) than the support at $16.00 (0.81%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Maiden Holdings Ltd. 6.625% Notes due 2046 ETF A Buy?
Maiden Holdings Ltd. 6.625% Notes due holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: -0.456 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Maiden Holdings Ltd. 6.625% Notes due 2046 of Friday, April 26, 2024
Fair opening price April 26, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$16.06 ( 0.413%) | $16.13 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for MHLA
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 16.28 | 0.95 % | |
R2 | 16.20 | 0.430 % | ||
R1 | 16.15 | 0.108 % | ||
Current price: | 16.13 | |||
Support | S1 | 15.98 | -0.93 % | |
S2 | 15.93 | -1.26 % | ||
S3 | 15.84 | -1.78 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 16.68 | 3.41 % | |
R2 | 16.49 | 2.20 % | ||
R1 | 16.20 | 0.435 % | ||
Current price | 16.13 | |||
Support | S1 | 16.00 | -0.81% | |
S2 | 15.88 | -1.55% | ||
S3 | 15.78 | -2.17% |
MHLA Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | May 30, 2024 | May 30, 2024 | Jun 14, 2024 | $0.414 | 2.57% |
2 | Feb 27, 2024 | Feb 27, 2024 | Mar 14, 2024 | $0.414 | 2.61% |
3 | Nov 29, 2023 | Nov 29, 2023 | Dec 14, 2023 | $0.414 | 2.36% |
4 | Aug 29, 2023 | Aug 29, 2023 | Sep 14, 2023 | $0.414 | 2.63% |
5 | May 26, 2023 | May 26, 2023 | Jun 14, 2023 | $0.414 | 2.54% |
FAQ
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