Bitcoin Faces $66,380 Resistance After Climbing From W-Bottom Pattern Breakout
Lukas Schmidt
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is currently wrestling with resistance around the $66,380 level after breaking out from a classic W-bottom pattern near $64,500. The recent bullish momentum, confirmed by a decisive Marubozu candle, suggests buyers were charging ahead, but the battle against overhead supply is far from over.
Despite the short-term upswing, Bitcoin remains well below its 200-period moving average on the 4-hour chart, sitting near $71,291, which continues to weigh on the broader price structure. This gap keeps the overall trend in a bearish phase, indicating the recent rally may face serious challenges sustaining its pace.
Volume trends during this rally are telling - rising as Bitcoin approaches resistance rather than pulling back, which often hints that the rally might be catching late buyers. This scenario sets the stage for a potential bull trap if the resistance proves too strong, catching aggressive longs off guard.
Traders monitoring possible moves are eyeing three main paths: a breakout above $66,100 on the 4-hour chart, a conservative confirmation with a close and retest above $66,380, or a rejection below $65,000 signaling a bearish turn. Each path comes with distinct target levels ranging from around $62,500 on the downside to about $70,821 if the bulls regain control.
The zone between $64,500 and $66,300 has been dubbed a 'no-trade zone' due to the chop and unclear directionality, making it a tough spot to find favorable risk/reward setups. Waiting for a clear break either above resistance or below support could be the cleaner way to read the tape.
Technical indicators provide a mixed bag: the SuperTrend has turned bullish since $63,740, and the MACD shows momentum shifting towards buyers. However, Bitcoin is still trading beneath the Ichimoku cloud, a sign that the long-term bears haven't stepped aside just yet. Volatility, as measured by ATR, remains moderate, suggesting stops can be kept fairly tight, but the lurking resistance brings caution.
One key takeaway here is that W-bottom breakouts can lead to sharp rallies but also trap momentum traders if the ascent jams up at heavy supply zones. Failure to clear $66,380 convincingly could spark a swift reversal, swallowing late buyers.
Looking further out, a decisive close above $66,380 on the 4-hour chart, backed by solid volume, would reduce the chances of a bull trap, while a drop below $65,000 would reinforce bearish pressures. Price failing below $62,336 would mark a significant failure for bulls, whereas surpassing $67,216 could shake off bears.
Bitcoin's current setup asks a lot of any participant willing to pick a side. With the fight at hand between buyers pushing a comeback and sellers defending a key zone, the question turns less about where Bitcoin should go, and more about how the tug-of-war will play out next.
About The Author
Lukas Schmidt
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