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CarMax Earnings: Will Analysts' Optimism Pay Off?

Alex Vellor
11:11am, Wednesday, Apr 09, 2025
Photo by Torsten Dettlaff, pexels.com

Investors are gearing up for the upcoming earnings release from CarMax (NYSE: KMX), scheduled for tomorrow morning before the market opens. As the anticipation builds, let's delve into what traders might expect from this renowned auto retailer.

Company KMX
Event Upcoming Earnings
Expected Revenue $5.99 billion
Previous Revenue $6.22 billion
Expected EPS $0.65
Previous EPS Beat estimates
Revenue Growth (YoY) 6.5% expected
Previous Quarter Surprise +3% revenue surprise, EPS & EBITDA beat
Competitor Performance AZO: -0.8% revenue miss, +2.4% sales growth, +2.6% stock

In its previous quarter, CarMax not only met but surpassed analysts' revenue forecasts by 3%, boasting revenues of $6.22 billion, which represented a modest year-over-year growth of 1.2%. That quarter was a bright spot for the company, showcasing a remarkable achievement in beating both EPS and EBITDA estimates.

So, with earnings on the horizon, the burning question remains: Is CarMax a buy or sell? Our comprehensive analysis offers insights tailored for traders—feel free to explore it for free.

As we approach this earnings report, analysts are predicting a revenue increase of 6.5% year-over-year, expecting CarMax to generate approximately $5.99 billion. This would mark a significant turnaround from the 1.7% decline noted in the same quarter last year. On the earnings side, the market looks for adjusted earnings to land around $0.65 per share. Notably, the past month has seen analysts reaffirming their estimates, indicating a general sense of confidence in the company’s ability to maintain its trajectory leading into earnings.

However, it’s worth mentioning that CarMax has encountered challenges in the past, having missed Wall Street's revenue projections four times over the previous two years. Such history may prompt cautious sentiment among traders.

Comparisons with competitors in the automotive and marine retail sectors reveal that only AutoZone (NYSE:AZO) has reported its figures thus far, falling short of revenue estimates by 0.8%, while achieving a year-over-year sales growth of 2.4%. The market reacted positively to AutoZone’s results, pushing the stock up by 2.6%.

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