Porsche tumbles 6.2% as EV rollout delays cut 2025 margin to ~2% - Volkswagen warns €5.1B hit
Lukas Schmidt
Shares in Porsche (FRA: P911) opened sharply lower on Monday, trading about 6.2% down in early Frankfurt trade after the company pushed back the rollout of some all-electric models and cut its 2025 profitability guidance.
The carmaker said weak demand for its new EVs forced the delay, and that its profit margin for the year will now top out at roughly 2%, versus the prior target range of 5-7%. That revision is sizeable enough to shift the math on future cash flow and raises questions about timing for the EV ramp.
Parent Volkswagen (FRA: VOW) signalled the knock-on effects immediately: it expects a roughly €5.1 billion hit tied to the product overhaul at the Porsche unit it controls, and trimmed its own margin outlook to 2-3% from 4-5%. Volkswagen shares moved about 4.0% lower in early trade. The holding company Porsche SE (FRA: P911) also pared back its profit-after-tax outlook and was down roughly 2.7%.
Those headline numbers-€5.1 billion, and a margin reset from mid-single digits to around 2%-are straightforward reasons for the sudden sell-off. They translate into lower near-term earnings at Volkswagen and greater uncertainty around Porsche's EV timetable.
From a market perspective, the move has two immediate effects: higher volatility around the auto complex and renewed scrutiny of guidance that leaned on a faster EV transition. Analysts and modelers will need to re-run assumptions on volumes, launch schedules and margin dilution for the next several quarters.
Short, blunt take: an expensive product pivot just got pricier and slower. One figure to watch on the tape this week is the €5.1 billion charge Volkswagen flagged; it's the clearest, most concrete impact on group profitability for 2025.
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Lukas Schmidt
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