News Digest / Latest Stock Market News / SpaceX IPO Underwriters Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs Diverge by $1 Trillion in Valuation

SpaceX IPO Underwriters Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs Diverge by $1 Trillion in Valuation

Alex Vellor
04:47am, Tuesday, Jul 07, 2026
Photo: SpaceX on Unsplash.com

The curtain has lifted on SpaceX's (SPCX) valuation showdown as the initial quiet period for its lead underwriters wraps up. Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs have thrown down very different gauntlets, pegging the rocket giant's price target at a vast distance from one another.

Morgan Stanley (MS) is eyeing a $300 price tag for the space exploration titan, while Goldman Sachs (GS) has set its sights much lower at $205 per share. This discrepancy creates a jaw-dropping $1 trillion gulf between the two estimations.

These valuations come at the nascent stages of the public market introduction for SpaceX, marking a critical moment as the underwriters break their silence. Both teams kicked off coverage with buy-equivalent ratings, yet the split in their price targets signals significantly different outlooks on SpaceX's growth trajectory and risk profile.

The tension in the numbers reflects contrasting perspectives on SpaceX's market potential and execution risks. Morgan Stanley's aggressive target leans on the expectation of continued breakthroughs and dominance in satellite launches, space travel, and perhaps future interplanetary ventures.

Goldman Sachs appears more conservative, likely weighing factors like regulatory hurdles, competitive pressures, and the high capital investments necessary to sustain SpaceX's ambitious projects. Their valuation implies a more tempered approach to the near-term upside.

SpaceX has long been a darling of private markets, with the mystique of Elon Musk's vision fueling lofty private valuations. The IPO's public pricing will ultimately force the market to pick a side in this debate, one way or the other.

For any single IPO, a trillion-dollar valuation gap between lead underwriters is unprecedented, making this more than just about SpaceX's shares. It's a glimpse into how complex and speculative valuations for space tech have become.

With the quiet period over, these contrasting targets establish a storyline. Will SpaceX soar to meet Morgan Stanley's bullish price or settle closer to Goldman Sachs' cautious outlook? Or will the open market come up with a different verdict entirely?

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