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Walmart's Stock Takes 8% Plunge as Profit Growth Slows: What Traders Need to Know

Lukas Schmidt
08:36am, Thursday, Feb 20, 2025

In a recent turn of events, shares of Walmart (NYSE: WMT) experienced a notable dip, falling by 8% in premarket trading. This decline came on the heels of the retail giant’s announcement that profit growth is set to decelerate in the upcoming fiscal year, despite exceeding earnings and revenue expectations for its fourth quarter.

For the holiday quarter, Walmart reported a revenue increase of approximately 4%, bolstered by a remarkable 20% surge in e-commerce sales within the U.S. The uptick in online shopping, particularly through store Pickup and home delivery services, as well as gains among higher-income consumers, are positive highlights. However, the company’s outlook disappointed analysts; it forecasts that net sales will grow between 3% to 4% and adjusted operating income will rise by 3.5% to 5.5% when adjusted for constant currency fluctuations.

During an interview, Walmart's Chief Financial Officer, John David Rainey, emphasized the challenges looming on the horizon. He acknowledged that the potential imposition of tariffs on imports from Mexico and Canada could significantly impact operations, stating that the company wouldn’t be “completely immune.” With two-thirds of the items Walmart sells originating in the U.S., Rainey underscored the company’s ability to adapt by leaning on private brands and shifting sourcing to optimize costs.

Despite these hurdles, Walmart delivered adjusted earnings of 66 cents per share, surpassing Wall Street's expectation of 64 cents. However, the anticipated adjusted earnings for the full year—between $2.50 and $2.60 per share—fell short of the $2.76 projected by analysts, underlining a gap between projected and actual financial performance that traders should monitor closely.

The retail titan’s net income for the quarter came in at $5.25 billion, translating to 65 cents per share, down from $5.49 billion and 68 cents per share in the previous year. On a more positive note, comparable sales, an important metric in retail, grew by 4.6% in Walmart's U.S. division, with even stronger performance observed in Sam's Club, which registered a 6.8% increase, excluding fuel sales.

Interestingly, the e-commerce segment continues to show strong promise, achieving a noteworthy 20% growth compared to the same quarter last year—marking the 11th consecutive quarter of such impressive gains. Global e-commerce sales reflected a 16% increase, which should give traders something to ponder in terms of long-term growth potential amidst temporary setbacks.

Walmart also made headlines with its decision to raise its dividend by 13% to 94 cents per share—the most significant increment in over ten years. As of the last closing, shares were up approximately 83% in the past year and have risen about 15% since the beginning of this year—a notable outperformance compared to the S&P 500's 4% gain in the same time frame.

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