Royal Caribbean Cruises Stock Forecast
Red day on Friday for Royal Caribbean Cruises
(Updated on Jun 14, 2024)
The Royal Caribbean Cruises stock price fell by -4.37% on the last day (Friday, 14th Jun 2024) from $155.28 to $148.50. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 5.27% from a day low at $146.03 to a day high of $153.73. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 0.56% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 2 million shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 3 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $519.07 million.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 17.56% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $167.35 and $186.01 at the end of this 3-month period.
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RCL Signals & Forecast
A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, June 12, 2024, and so far it has fallen -5.70%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely. Some positive signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Royal Caribbean Cruises stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $154.14. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $146.52. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Royal Caribbean Cruises stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $140.80 and $137.47. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Royal Caribbean Cruises finds support just below today's level at $140.80. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $137.47 and $135.04.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $7.70 between high and low, or 5.27%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.60%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $141.08 (-5.00%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 42 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (RCL) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 17th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 17th we expect Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd to open at $149.42, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $144.49 and $152.51, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$4.01 (+/-2.70%) up or down from last closing price. If Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.40% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $150.13 (1.10%) than the support at $140.80 (5.19%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd stock A Buy?
Several of the signals/indicators are negative, and we believe that this will affect on the development for the next days and maybe possible weeks. However, over time, we think that today's level holds a possible buying opportunity and that the price will be higher during or at the end of this 3-month period.
Current score: 1.219 Buy Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd of Monday, June 17, 2024
| Fair opening price June 17, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $149.42 ( 0.619%) | $148.50 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for RCL
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 157.12 | 5.80% |
| R2 | 154.18 | 3.82% |
| R1 | 152.36 | 2.60% |
| Price | 148.50 | |
| S1 | 146.48 | -1.36% |
| S2 | 144.66 | -2.58% |
| S3 | 141.72 | -4.56% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 155.16 | 4.48% |
| R2 | 150.75 | 1.52% |
| R1 | 150.13 | 1.10% |
| Price | 148.50 | |
| S1 | 140.80 | -5.19% |
| S2 | 137.47 | -7.43% |
| S3 | 135.04 | -9.06% |
RCL Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feb 20, 2020 | Mar 05, 2020 | Apr 06, 2020 | $0.780 | 2.63% |
| 2 | Dec 05, 2019 | Dec 19, 2019 | Jan 06, 2020 | $0.780 | 0.593% |
| 3 | Sep 06, 2019 | Sep 19, 2019 | Oct 11, 2019 | $0.780 | 0.725% |
| 4 | May 10, 2019 | Jun 03, 2019 | Jul 03, 2019 | $0.700 | 0.601% |
| 5 | Feb 13, 2019 | Mar 06, 2019 | Apr 05, 2019 | $0.700 | 0.597% |
FAQ
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