National Grid Transco PLC Stock Forecast

Evaluation of National Grid Transco PLC stock downgraded after the last trading session.
(Updated on May 17, 2024)

NGG Signals & Forecast

The National Grid Transco PLC stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $71.90 and $67.73. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, May 16, 2024, and so far it has fallen -0.655%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements. The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Friday, March 01, 2024 in the short-term chart.

Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for National Grid Transco PLC stock

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $67.61 and $66.71. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, National Grid Transco PLC finds support just below today's level at $67.61. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $66.71 and $66.68.

This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.430 between high and low, or 0.591%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 0.717%.

The National Grid Transco PLC stock is overbought on RSI14 and lies in the upper part of the trend. Normally this may pose a good selling opportunity for the short-term trader, but some stocks may go long and hard while being overbought. Regardless, the high RSI together with the trend position increases the risk and higher daily movements (volatility) should be expected. A correction down in the nearby future seems very likely and it is of great importance that the stock manages to break the trend before that occurs.

Our recommended stop-loss: $70.23 (-3.57%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. The RSI14 is 84 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 1 day ago.)

Trading Expectations (NGG) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 20th

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 20th we expect National Grid Transco PLC to open at $72.91, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $71.94 and $73.72, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.89 (+/-1.22%) up or down from last closing price. If National Grid Transco PLC takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.44% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $73.31 (0.66%) than the support at $67.61 (7.17%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is National Grid Transco PLC stock A Buy?

National Grid Transco PLC holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.

Current score: 0.349 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded

Predicted Opening Price for National Grid Transco PLC of Monday, May 20, 2024

The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.