National Grid Transco PLC Stock Forecast

National Grid Transco PLC stock upgraded from Hold/Accumulate to Buy Candidate after Thursday trading session.
(Updated on May 16, 2024)

NGG Signals & Forecast

Mostly positive signals in the chart today. The National Grid Transco PLC stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $71.47 and $67.60. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, April 16, 2024, and so far it has risen 15.41%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely. The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Friday, March 01, 2024 in the short-term chart.

Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for National Grid Transco PLC stock

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $67.61 and $66.71. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, National Grid Transco PLC finds support just below today's level at $67.61. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $66.71 and $66.68.

This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.507 between high and low, or 0.696%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 0.734%.

The National Grid Transco PLC stock is overbought on RSI14 and lies in the upper part of the trend. Normally this may pose a good selling opportunity for the short-term trader, but some stocks may go long and hard while being overbought. Regardless, the high RSI together with the trend position increases the risk and higher daily movements (volatility) should be expected. A correction down in the nearby future seems very likely and it is of great importance that the stock manages to break the trend before that occurs.

Our recommended stop-loss: $70.32 (-4.08%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. The RSI14 is 90 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 22 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (NGG) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 17th

For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 17th we expect National Grid Transco PLC to open at $73.20, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $72.40 and $74.22, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.91 (+/-1.24%) up or down from last closing price. If National Grid Transco PLC takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.49% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

With no resistance above and support from accumulated volume @ $67.61, some $5.70 (7.78%) from the current price of $73.31, our system finds the risk reward attractive.

Is National Grid Transco PLC stock A Buy?

Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for National Grid Transco PLC stock to perform well in the short-term. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Buy candidate.

Current score: 4.665 Buy Candidate Upgraded

Predicted Opening Price for National Grid Transco PLC of Friday, May 17, 2024

The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.