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Bank Of Canada: Walking A Tightrope

05:09pm, Sunday, 18'th Apr 2021
Canadian government bond yields have increased along with global rates, while the Canadian exchange rate has strengthened against the currencies of Canada's largest trading partners. Although the BoC

Canadian Stocks Set To Play Catch Up In 2021

08:06am, Saturday, 21'st Nov 2020
Why Canadian equities may be poised to play catch up in 2021.
Canada could outperform the U.S. economy in the second half of 2020.
Signs of recovery for Canadian big banks. Will strong trading revenues for banks last? Canadian big bank stocks poised to play catch up..
Bank of Canada keeps rates unchanged at 0.25%. Uncertainty remains as Canadian economy moves into recuperation phase.

Comments On Canadian Inflation Risks

01:04pm, Sunday, 23'rd Aug 2020
There has been a cabinet shuffle in Canada. Newspaper reports hint at philosophical changes, moving towards a more free-spending strategy.
On top of government-sanctioned deferral programs for mortgages, other debts and rents, the Canada Emergency Response Benefit doled out $2,000 per month to keep Canadians spending since the end of Mar
Compared with their pre-pandemic levels, nominal exports and imports are well below February levels. Trade with the U.S.
Consumer spending trends as re-openings begin. Business spending lags consumers but still trending up.
The COVID-19 pandemic is causing Canada's immigration to plunge. Lower immigration levels in Canada could create a long-term drag on housing.
Half of the independent Canadian restaurants recently surveyed say that they are unlikely to survive the current crisis.

Banks And Borrowers Not In Quick Recovery

07:48pm, Thursday, 16'th Jul 2020
As the Trump admin works daily to prop up the stock market as key to its re-election bid in November, a financial pandemic continues to undercut the real economy and national income.
Bank of Canada leaves rates unchanged at 0.25%. A risk to the BoC's outlook is a big second wave of the virus.

Moving To New Steady State

01:48am, Tuesday, 14'th Jul 2020
My argument has been that economies would return to a steady state path, with certain industries crippled (e.g., mass tourism), but other industries able to operate.

Monthly Newsletter - June 2020

10:27am, Sunday, 12'th Jul 2020
Most investors would say that a drop of less than 5% for the S&P 500 is no big deal over half a year, nor is the less pleasant but not extraordinary drawdown of 9% for the TSX.
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