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At Close: Jun 03, 2026
Why the disconnect between Wall Street and Main Street. Can equity markets continue to rise? Could a Biden White House spoil the equities party?.
Long leading indicators generally turn down at least one year before the economy as a whole. There are 8 such metrics with good historical records.

Sentiment Is Shifting In The Markets: Thornton

10:54pm, Thursday, 27'th Aug 2020
Markets have been frothy as sentiment continues to heavily skew price action, but change is in the air.
A truer picture of the employment situation is extracted from the Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims (UIWC) report.
Volatility appears likely to rise in September, possibly weighing on stocks. Low Treasury yields continue to suggest widespread caution.

The Coming Inflation - Don't Worry But Do Think

12:19pm, Thursday, 27'th Aug 2020
There is a significant amount of potential inflation built into the current economy. This isn't something to worry about, not as yet, but it is worth thinking about it.
Capital markets have rebounded from their COVID-19-induced lows, but impacted industries have lagged substantially.

World Markets Update: August 25, 2020

09:43am, Thursday, 27'th Aug 2020
Six of eight indexes on our world watch list posted losses through August 25, 2020. The top performer is China's Shanghai with a gain of 10.60%.
This chart dump is a quick review of the relative fiscal response of major national governments around the world.
Forward PE multiples hit new decade highs in August amid buoyant risk appetite and recovery hopes for both economies and corporate earnings.
Powell is the center of attention. The market will be looking for hints (confirmation) that the Fed is preparing to formally adopt an average inflation target.

Stocks Are Primed For Another Correction

07:51am, Thursday, 27'th Aug 2020
U.S. stocks have had a fantastic recovery from their March 2020 lows.

Is This Time Different?

05:04am, Thursday, 27'th Aug 2020
Only one of the S&P 500 sectors joined the index at its all-time-high this past week, and that was the Consumer Discretionary sector.
If interest rates back up, it will have a negative impact on bonds, and possibly equities as well, because they are a play on duration.

What It Means To Spend Over $3 Trillion

09:32pm, Wednesday, 26'th Aug 2020
During the last five months, the U.S. national debt has increased from $23.5 trillion to $26.5 trillion.
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