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At Close: Jul 31, 2026
Monthly Newsletter - June 2020
10:27am, Sunday, 12'th Jul 2020
Most investors would say that a drop of less than 5% for the S&P 500 is no big deal over half a year, nor is the less pleasant but not extraordinary drawdown of 9% for the TSX.
This Is Nuts... Again. Reducing Risk As Tech Goes 1999
08:54am, Sunday, 12'th Jul 2020
It is a bit hard to comprehend that twice, in the same year, I would be writing primarily the same article.
Weekly Commentary: Utmost Crazy
06:51am, Sunday, 12'th Jul 2020
China's Total Aggregate Financing expanded a much stronger-than-expected $490 billion in June, up from May's $455 billion expansion and 30% above growth from June 2019.
Week Ahead - Bring On Earnings Season
01:47pm, Saturday, 11'th Jul 2020
Next week sees earnings season get underway in the US, with the major banks all reporting on the second quarter and offering insight - if they have any - into the rest of the year.
Mutual Fund And ETF Flows Don't Favor Stocks
10:57am, Saturday, 11'th Jul 2020
Investors' actions indicate stocks have not been at the top of their buying list for a year and a half.
Epochalypse Now: How Deep Is Your Depression?
10:13am, Saturday, 11'th Jul 2020
We are nearing that mid-point in July when I said we would start to see the news turn from euphoria-inducing reopening positives to depression-developing realism.
Large-Cap Growth And Momentum Dominate 2020 Factor Returns
09:46am, Saturday, 11'th Jul 2020
If your US equity strategy is posting a gain this year, there's a good chance that the key driver is a hefty allocation to either the large-cap growth or momentum factors.
A Healing Job Market And Economy But Poor Investor Sentiment
07:55am, Friday, 03'rd Jul 2020
The labor market still needs healing, but payrolls are up 8 million in two months. The stay-at-home mandates and business shutdowns caused a severe economic con
Money Moves Markets, But Not If It's 'Locked Up'
10:03pm, Thursday, 02'nd Jul 2020
The Fed has stopped growing its balance sheet. This has always put downward pressure on the stock market until the government deficit increases (increased debt)
How Much Bull Does The Nasdaq Have Left?
08:00am, Thursday, 02'nd Jul 2020
Tech-heavy Nasdaq has seen strong growth since the March lows. Investor sentiment has shifted since that March bottom. Charts are showing a topping pattern in t
Profiting From Uncertainty
08:41am, Wednesday, 01'st Jul 2020
Global economic policy uncertainty is at an all-time high. This has historically cut capex and hurt valuations, but can also be used as a contrarian buy/sell in
Median Household Income In May 2020
06:46am, Wednesday, 01'st Jul 2020
Political Calculations' initial estimate of median household income in May 2020 is $65,669, down 0.5% from April 2020's initial estimate of $66,027. While this
Mid-Year Outlook: A Slow, Uneven Economic Recovery In The Second Half
05:45am, Wednesday, 01'st Jul 2020
Our base case is that the global economic recovery in its initial stages will be slow and uneven. We assume there will be a gradual easing of lockdowns and a gr
Cloud Exposure: Looking Beyond The Benchmarks
07:44am, Tuesday, 30'th Jun 2020
The Nasdaq 100 currently holds only five companies in common with WCLD (Workday, Adobe, Zoom, PayPal and, recently, DocuSign), which together only amount to app
Our Midyear Outlook
01:55am, Tuesday, 30'th Jun 2020
The virus shock is accelerating key structural trends. We update our three investment themes and investment views against this backdrop. We are tracking the int
