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At Close: Jun 02, 2026
December ECB Meeting: A More Hawkish Stance Than The Fed
08:35pm, Thursday, 14'th Dec 2023
The European Central Bank (ECB) kept its key policy rates on hold today for the second consecutive meeting. The interest rate on the main refinancing operations, the marginal lending facility, and the
December's ECB Cheat Sheet: A Reality Check For Ultra-Dovish Expectations
11:28pm, Thursday, 07'th Dec 2023
The ECB will almost surely keep rates on hold at the December meeting. The question is to what extent it will align with the market's aggressive pricing for rate cuts in 2024.
2024 Set To Be The Year That The ECB Hike Cycle Is Felt
11:17pm, Thursday, 07'th Dec 2023
The ECB hike cycle seems over, but the shockwaves of tightening will still shape the eurozone economy in 2024. Traditional lags in transmission are now accompanied by longer ones in average interest b
ECB Preview: The Long Dovish Shift
11:00pm, Wednesday, 06'th Dec 2023
Next week's challenge for the European Central Bank is how to keep all options open without sounding too dovish but also not too detached from reality. The weak macro economic backdrop no longer justi
Eurozone Wage Growth Is Set To Peak Soon
11:34pm, Friday, 17'th Nov 2023
Slowing inflation, a cooling labour market, and lower expected corporate revenues make a peak in wage growth before the middle of next year likely. While the European Central Bank waits for clarity, t
Europe's Wage Rises Are Aiding Recovery But Economies Face Risks
01:47pm, Wednesday, 08'th Nov 2023
Rising wages and higher incomes are boosting Europe's economic recovery, but policymakers may face challenges due to population aging and shrinking workforce. Demographics and shorter working weeks me
The Eurozone Is Flirting With Recession
07:00am, Sunday, 05'th Nov 2023
Eurozone growth turned negative in the third quarter and the next two quarters don't look very promising either. With inflation declining, the case for an additional rate hike is disappearing.
Eurozone Economy Braces Itself For Prolonged Sluggishness
08:10pm, Monday, 30'th Oct 2023
Businesses report a slight tick-up in selling price expectations, but hard data still looks benign. Decline in the Economic Sentiment Indicator in October came as no surprise after the PMI had already
ECB: A Dovish Pause Now, A Peak Soon
12:33pm, Thursday, 26'th Oct 2023
The European Central Bank increasingly seems to embrace the idea that the peak in policy rates has already been reached. After 10 consecutive hikes, the ECB's decision to leave policy rates unchanged
ECB Preview: The Best Moment To Pause
12:45pm, Tuesday, 17'th Oct 2023
If anything, developments since the September meeting have made it even easier for the European Central Bank to pause at its next meeting. As much as the ECB has tried to keep the door to further rate
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