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At Close: Jun 03, 2026
2020 U.S. Election Primer
04:00am, Friday, 21'st Aug 2020
The economic hit from the COVID-19 pandemic decreased Trump's favorability and his probability of reelection, but economic improvement between now and Election Day could improve his odds.
Financialization: Explaining The Disconnect Between Financial Markets And The Real Economy, Part 3
12:31am, Friday, 21'st Aug 2020
The financialization process offers clear insights into the ongoing disconnect between asset valuations and the real economy.
The Best Thing For Asset Prices Is A Deep Recession: Hirst
11:22pm, Thursday, 20'th Aug 2020
We may be one inflationary spike away from a deflationary bust because proper inflation will destroy people’s ability to pay off their debt and cause more economic wreckage going forward.
Why, In The Face Of The Worst U.S. Economy Since The Great Depression, Is The Stock Market Near Record Highs?
08:17am, Wednesday, 19'th Aug 2020
Interest rates are the lowest they have ever been, whether we measure in terms of corporate bonds, US Treasurys, or mortgage rates.
U.S. Equities Outperform But Do Little For The Heavy Greenback
07:34am, Wednesday, 19'th Aug 2020Partial Recovery Expected For U.S. Q3 GDP
04:41am, Wednesday, 19'th Aug 2020
The unprecedented decline in in US economic output in Q2 is currently on track to recover less than half the loss in Q3, according to several GDP nowcasts compiled by Capital Spectator.
The Ecommerce Surge
04:21am, Wednesday, 19'th Aug 2020
Both the UK and the USA have given official statistics on how ecommerce and retail have changed during lockdown.
Optimism Persists Despite U.S. Stimulus Stalemate
03:33am, Wednesday, 19'th Aug 2020
The good news is that federal unemployment benefits have been extended by President Donald Trump's executive order last week.
High Frequency Data Shows A Slow July, Maybe August Pickup
01:25am, Wednesday, 19'th Aug 2020
These days we are blessed with a variety of high frequency data sets, which are very helpful in a rapidly changing environment.
The Inflation Trade Just Caught Fire Again: Greer
11:43pm, Tuesday, 18'th Aug 2020
Inflation is manifesting itself all across the market, and multiple indicators are giving confirmation and confidence to lean into the inflation trades.
Disposable Income Is Not Holding Back The Economy
07:57am, Tuesday, 18'th Aug 2020
In the Keynesian model, fiscal stimulus boosts demand during a recession by making up for the decline in disposable income during a period of falling GDP.
Don't Count On The August Curse
04:27am, Tuesday, 18'th Aug 2020
August is the worst-performing month for stocks, but not this year. Expect a pause that refreshes for the S&P in the very near term.
'Close But No Cigar,' Bulls Fail To Capture Market Highs
08:27am, Sunday, 16'th Aug 2020
This week, despite repeated attempts, the bulls were unable to close above all-time highs solidly. As they say, it was close, but no cigar.
Week Ahead - The Focus Remains On COVID-19, The Fed And Congress
04:34pm, Saturday, 15'th Aug 2020
The US economic recovery depends on three factors, namely, COVID-19, the Fed, and Congress. Capitol Hill failed to deliver the next round of stimulus and next week will likely be the blame game.
Status Of U.S. Consumer And Consumer ETFs For August 2020
04:12pm, Saturday, 15'th Aug 2020
The jobs market has come back somewhat, although gains until now are largely the low hanging fruit Thanks to the stimulus, consumer spending has returned to pre-pandemic levels.
