Alibaba stock price up 1.5% on Monday

The Alibaba stock price gained 1.50% on the last trading day (Monday, 11th Oct 2021), rising from $161.52 to $163.95. , and has now gained 6 days in a row. It is not often that stocks manage to gain so many days in a row, and falls for a day or two should be expected. During the day the stock fluctuated 3.57% from a day low at $163.95 to a day high of $169.80. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 9.17% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 7 million more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 40 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $6.63 billion.

On Oct 01, 2021 "KeyCorp" gave "$250.00 - $200.00" rating for BABA. The price target was set to $148.05+0.3%.

Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -30.12% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $93.72 and $114.57 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.

Mostly positive signals in the chart today. The Alibaba stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term moving averages giving a positive forecast for the stock, but the stock has a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $150.36 and $158.66. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Monday, October 04, 2021, and so far it has risen 17.42%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal.

Alibaba finds support from accumulated volume at $161.06 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $5.85 between high and low, or 3.57%. For the last week, the stock has had a daily average volatility of 3.70%.

Since the Alibaba has been rising for 6 days in a row, the risk over the next couple of days has increased. We don't expect a major reaction as the stock is in very good shape technically, and therefore hold a positive evaluation despite the very short term risk.

Several short-term signals are positive, despite the stock being in a falling trend, we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for stock to perform well in the short-term.