Altimmune (ALT) Shows Volatility and Bullish Technicals, Analysts Set High Targets, 1 month ago

Altimmune, Inc. Technical Analysis

Altimmune, Inc. (Ticker: ALT) has experienced significant volatility with a sharp increase in its stock price on the last trading day, closing at $10.97, which is an 18.34% change. The intraday range was between a low of $9.51 and a high of $11.07, showing strong market activity considering the average volume of 8.34 million was almost doubled, with a trading volume of 15.20 million shares.

The technical indicators reveal a bullish sentiment among investors: the Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 79, which generally suggests the stock might be overbought. However, analysts typically look at the RSI in conjunction with other indicators as RSI alone might not indicate an imminent reversal. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is 1.86, which confirms the current bullish trend but also indicates that the price might be reaching a point of overextension, given the wide divergence from both the 50-day ($3.89) and 200-day ($3.96) moving averages.

The stock has surpassed key resistance levels with no immediate resistance in sight, suggesting that upward momentum could persist. However, investors should note the higher Average True Range (ATR) at 9.25, which points to high volatility in upcoming trading sessions. Meanwhile, a stop-loss has been suggested at $10.59 to protect against potential downturns.

Fundamental Analysis

On the fundamental side, Altimmune's market capitalization stands at approximately $589.41 million with 53.73 million shares outstanding. The company has a negative earnings per share (EPS) of -$1.54, leading to a negative price-to-earnings (PE) ratio, which isn't uncommon for clinical-stage biopharmaceutical companies that typically forgo profits in exchange for research and development of potential drug candidates.

Looking forward, analysts have set high target estimates for ALT, with a high estimate of $50 and a low of $20, with a consensus target price of $31.20. The consensus rating among analysts is a 'Buy,' which reflects optimism about the company's pipeline and long-term prospects. Moreover, the recent news mentions the potential in the obesity drug market, which implies that Altimmune, if it has assets in this space, could benefit from the growing investor interest and the competitive landscape defined by prominent players like Eli Lilly and Novo Nordisk.

Altimmune, Inc. Given that the next earnings announcement is set for February 26, 2024, investors will likely be watching for any strategic updates or progress in clinical trials that could affect the company's valuation and position in the obesity drug market.

Predictions for Stock Performance

Given the current technical overextension and the high RSI reading, there might be a short-term pullback as some investors lock in gains from the recent uptrend. However, the strong trading volume suggests that interest in the stock is high, which could maintain a level of price support. For the next trading day, caution is warranted; the stock might experience volatility as traders react to its recent surge.

Over the upcoming week, unless there are further catalysts, the stock could stabilize and potentially consolidate some of its gains as the market digests the recent price movement. Investors will likely keep an eye for any news or corporate updates that may influence the stock's direction.

Overall Evaluation

Considering the technical strength, current bullish consensus among analysts, and the speculative nature of the biotechnology sector, the recommendation for Altimmune (ALT) would be a 'Hold' for risk-averse investors. The stock shows potential for significant long-term growth based on analyst targets but is currently displaying signs of being overbought in the short term. Aggressive investors or those with a high-risk tolerance might see the current sentiment and market interest as an opportunity to 'Buy,' provided they are aware of the stock's volatility and potential for sharp price movements. However, the absence of immediate resistance levels and the strong volume suggest that there could still be upward momentum in the near term.

Both technical and fundamental aspects should be considered for a balanced investment approach, and investors should closely monitor the company's upcoming announcements and the market's reception to evolving trends in the obesity drug sector.

Check full Altimmune, Inc. forecast and analysis here.