Amazon stock price up 0.82% on MondayStockInvest.us, 4 weeks ago
The Amazon stock price gained 0.82% on the last trading day (Monday, 6th Nov 2023), rising from $138.60 to $139.74. It has now gained 7 days in a row. It is not often that stocks manage to gain so many days in a row, and falls for a day or two should be expected. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.71% from a day low at $138.36 to a day high of $140.73. The price has risen in 8 of the last 10 days and is up by 10.41% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -2 million shares and in total, 42 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $5.84 billion. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
On Oct 27, 2023, it was reported that Morgan Stanley gave AMZN a "Overweight" grade with a "hold" action.
Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -6.51% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $110.79 and $130.64 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
Mostly positive signals in the chart today. The Amazon stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $135.28 and $129.81. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Thursday, October 26, 2023, and so far it has risen 16.87%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely.
Amazon finds support from accumulated volume at $137.85 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $2.37 between high and low, or 1.71%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.78%.
Since the Amazon has been rising for 7 days in a row, the risk over the next couple of days has increased. We don't expect a major reaction as the stock is in very good shape technically, and therefore hold a positive evaluation despite the very short term risk.
Several short-term signals are positive, despite the stock being in a falling trend, we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for stock to perform well in the short-term.Check full Amazon forecast and analysis here.