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The Microsoft stock price gained 1.05% on the last trading day (Thursday, 26th Jun 2025), rising from $492.27 to $497.45. It has now gained 4 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.45% from a day low at $491.61 to a day high of $498.74. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 5.25% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 4 million more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 21 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $10.67 billion.
On Jun 26, 2025, it was reported that Morgan Stanley gave MSFT a "Overweight" grade with a "hold" action.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled.Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 37.49% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $635.37 and $700.05 at the end of this 3-month period.
The Microsoft stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $485.93 and $464.52. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Monday, April 21, 2025, and so far it has risen 38.52%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal.
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $425.40 and $390.49.There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Microsoft finds support just below today's level at $425.40. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $390.49 and $381.35.
This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved $7.13 (1.45%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.63%.
Microsoft holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.
Check full Microsoft forecast and analysis here.