High volatility in Super Micro Computer stock price on Monday which ended trading at $562.51

The Super Micro Computer stock price fell by -8.27% on the last day (Monday, 26th Aug 2024) from $613.24 to $562.51. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 11.34% from a day low at $555.24 to a day high of $618.18. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 3.98% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 4 million shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 9 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $5.03 billion.

On Aug 07, 2024, it was reported that KeyBanc gave SMCI a "Hold" grade with a "hold" action.

The stock lies in the middle of a very wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled.Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -29.05% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $303.57 and $535.93 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.

A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, August 07, 2024, and so far it has risen 14.17%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Super Micro Computer stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $609.67 and $690.07. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.

Super Micro Computer finds support from accumulated volume at $540.98 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $62.94 between high and low, or 11.34%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 5.94%.

Super Micro Computer holds several negative signals and is within a very wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock.Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Strong Sell candidate.