Super Micro Computer Stock Forecast

Sell candidate since Jan 08, 2025 Loss -4.97%

The Super Micro Computer stock price gained 1.51% on the last trading day (Wednesday, 15th Jan 2025), rising from $30.53 to $30.99. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 4.04% from a day low at $30.48 to a day high of $31.71. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days but is still up by 1.01% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 5 million more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 27 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $822.21 million.

The stock lies in the middle of a very wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -12.77% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $12.21 and $36.42 at the end of this 3-month period.

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SMCI Signals & Forecast

Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Super Micro Computer stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $32.66 and $35.09. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, December 09, 2024, and so far it has fallen -29.82%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Super Micro Computer stock

Super Micro Computer finds support from accumulated volume at $29.70 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $1.23 between high and low, or 4.04%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 6.56%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (SMCI) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 16th

For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 16th we expect Super Micro Computer to open at $31.06, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $28.22 and $33.76, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$2.77 (+/-8.95%) up or down from last closing price. If Super Micro Computer takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 17.90% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $29.70 (4.16%) than the resistance at $33.07 (6.71%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is Super Micro Computer stock A Buy?

Super Micro Computer holds several negative signals and is within a very wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Strong Sell candidate.

Current score: -5.698 Strong Sell Candidate Downgraded

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Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on January 16, 2025 - $31.06 ( 0.226%).