Super Micro Computer Stock Forecast

Sell candidate since May 23, 2025

The Super Micro Computer stock price decreased by -2.98% on the last trading day (Friday, 23rd May 2025), dropping from $41.32 to $40.09. It has now experienced a decline for 5 consecutive days. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 3.50%, with a low of $39.11 and a high of $40.48. While the price has fallen on 6 out of the last 10 days, it remains up by 25.32% over the past 2 weeks. Trading volume increased on the last day by 7 million shares, despite the declining prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating a slight increase in risk over the next few days. In total, 37 million shares changed hands for approximately $1.50 billion.

The stock lies in the middle of a very wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -9.49% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $25.06 and $41.43 at the end of this 3-month period.

SMCI Signals & Forecast

The Super Micro Computer stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $42.96. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $35.56. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, May 16, 2025, and so far it has fallen -13.13%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Super Micro Computer stock

Super Micro Computer finds support from accumulated volume at $39.14 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock may move very much during the day (volatility) and with a very large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "very high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $1.37 between high and low, or 3.50%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 4.99%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (SMCI) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 27th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 27th we expect Super Micro Computer to open at $39.89, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $37.08 and $43.10, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$3.01 (+/-7.50%) up or down from last closing price. If Super Micro Computer takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 15.00% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $39.14 (2.37%) than the resistance at $42.95 (7.13%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is Super Micro Computer stock A Buy?

Super Micro Computer holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.

Current score: -1.107 Sell Candidate Downgraded

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Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on May 27, 2025 - $39.89 ( 0.491%).