Microsoft stock price ended at $510.15 on Wednesday, after gaining 0.181%

The Microsoft stock price gained 0.181% on the last trading day (Wednesday, 24th Sep 2025), rising from $509.23 to $510.15. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.10% from a day low at $506.92 to a day high of $512.48. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 1.95% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -5 million shares and in total, 14 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $6.89 billion. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.

On Jul 31, 2025, it was reported that Morgan Stanley gave MSFT a "Overweight" grade with a "hold" action.

The stock is moving within a horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Microsoft stock with a 90% probability to be traded between $504.07 and $548.27 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and stock seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Stock turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.

Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Microsoft stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $511.32 and $510.61. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, September 19, 2025, and so far it has fallen -1.50%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found.

Microsoft finds support from accumulated volume at $502.04 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $5.56 between high and low, or 1.10%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.27%.

Microsoft holds several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock.