NVIDIA stock downgraded to Hold/Accumulate

The NVIDIA stock price gained 2.25% on the last trading day (Monday, 20th Nov 2023), rising from $492.98 to $504.09. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.78% from a day low at $491.81 to a day high of $505.48. The price has risen in 8 of the last 10 days and is up by 10.18% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 9 million more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 40 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $20.27 billion.

On Nov 16, 2023, it was reported that Oppenheimer gave NVDA a "Outperform" grade with a "hold" action.

The stock has broken the wide and horizontal trend up. Breaks like this are often followed by swift and strong movements, and any correction down to the breakline at approximately. $467.62 is considered to be a "second chance" to hit a potential runner. It is, however, important that volume does follow the price as false breaks may appear and it may move back into the horizontal trend. Based on the rectangle-formation theory the stock is predicted to reach $533.13 sometime during the next 3 months.

The NVIDIA stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $492.41 and $450.27. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Thursday, October 26, 2023, and so far it has risen 25.00%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal.

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $471.63 and $460.18.There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, NVIDIA finds support just below today's level at $471.63. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $460.18 and $439.38.

This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $13.67 between high and low, or 2.78%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.39%.

The NVIDIA stock is extremely overbought on RSI14 (92). Normally this may pose a good selling opportunity but since the stock has broken the trend up, the chance for a major correction due to high RSI is very small as the stock will find support at the trend broken.

NVIDIA holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.