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Weaker technical forecast for NVIDIA as stock downgraded to Sell Candidate
(Updated on Nov 17, 2025)
The NVIDIA stock price decreased by -1.88% on the most recent trading day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025), moving from $190.17 to $186.60. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 2.54%, ranging from a low of $184.32 to a high of $189.00. The price has declined on 6 out of the last 10 days and has dropped by -9.8% in this timeframe. Volume decreased on the last day in tandem with the stock, which is generally a positive indicator as volume should align with stock movement. On the last day, the trading volume decreased by -14 million shares, with a total of 170 million shares traded, amounting to approximately $31.74 billion.
The stock lies in the lower part of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $185.52 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 12.31% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $208.36 and $237.82 at the end of this 3-month period.
NVDA Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The NVIDIA stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $191.13 and $189.81. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, October 29, 2025, and so far it has fallen -9.87%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements. The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Friday, September 19, 2025 in the short-term chart.
Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.
Golden Star
The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Friday, September 19, 2025 in the short-term chart.Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for NVIDIA stock
NVIDIA finds support from accumulated volume at $183.61 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $4.68 between high and low, or 2.54%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.44%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (NVDA) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect NVIDIA Corporation to open at $186.64, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $182.82 and $190.38, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$7.57 (+/-4.14%) up or down from last closing price. If NVIDIA Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.14% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $188.15 (0.83%) than the support at $183.61 (1.60%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is NVIDIA Corporation stock A Buy?
The NVIDIA stock holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe NVIDIA will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Sell candidate.
Current score:
-4.706
Sell Candidate
Downgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - $186.64 ( 0.0214%).
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NVDA Performance
Trading levels for NVDA
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 191.32 | 2.53% |
| R2 | 189.53 | 1.57% |
| R1 | 188.43 | 0.98% |
| Price | 186.60 | |
| S1 | 184.85 | -0.94% |
| S2 | 183.75 | -1.53% |
| S3 | 181.96 | -2.49% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 207.04 | 10.95% |
| R2 | 201.03 | 7.73% |
| R1 | 188.15 | 0.83% |
| Price | 186.60 | |
| S1 | 183.61 | -1.60% |
| S2 | 183.16 | -1.84% |
| S3 | 180.17 | -3.45% |
NVDA Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 27, 2025 | Sep 11, 2025 | Oct 02, 2025 | $0.0100 | 0.0057% |
| 2 | May 28, 2025 | Jun 11, 2025 | Jul 03, 2025 | $0.0100 | 0.0073% |
| 3 | Feb 26, 2025 | Mar 12, 2025 | Apr 02, 2025 | $0.0100 | 0.0091% |
| 4 | Nov 20, 2024 | Dec 05, 2024 | Dec 27, 2024 | $0.0100 | 0.0073% |
| 5 | Aug 28, 2024 | Sep 12, 2024 | Oct 03, 2024 | $0.0100 | 0.0081% |
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