- Excellent financial health (Piotroski 7/9)
- Strong operating margin of 64.0%
- Healthy interest coverage ratio of 544.6x
Weaker technical forecast for NVIDIA as stock downgraded to Sell Candidate
(Updated on Jul 24, 2026)
The NVIDIA stock price fell by -0.92% on the last day (Friday, 24th Jul 2026) from $208.76 to $206.84. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.47% from a day low at $204.81 to a day high of $211.91. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -1.95% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 812 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 111 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $22.93 billion.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -5.44% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $174.74 and $213.25 at the end of this 3-month period.
NVDA Signals & Forecast
The NVIDIA stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $206.92. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $204.47. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, July 15, 2026, and so far it has fallen -2.66%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for NVIDIA stock
NVIDIA finds support from accumulated volume at $205.10 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $7.10 between high and low, or 3.47%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.09%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (NVDA) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 27th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 27th we expect NVIDIA Corporation to open at $207.85, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $203.21 and $210.47, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$7.25 (+/-3.57%) up or down from last closing price. If NVIDIA Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.57% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $205.10 (0.84%) than the resistance at $210.69 (1.86%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is NVIDIA Corporation stock A Buy?
NVIDIA holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Sell candidate.
Current score:
-1.695
Sell Candidate
Downgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on July 27, 2026 - $207.85 ( 0.490%).
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NVDA Performance
Trading levels for NVDA
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 214.95 | 3.92% |
| R2 | 212.24 | 2.61% |
| R1 | 210.57 | 1.80% |
| Price | 206.84 | |
| S1 | 205.14 | -0.82% |
| S2 | 203.47 | -1.63% |
| S3 | 200.75 | -2.94% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 224.36 | 8.47% |
| R2 | 211.14 | 2.08% |
| R1 | 210.69 | 1.86% |
| Price | 206.84 | |
| S1 | 205.10 | -0.84% |
| S2 | 199.57 | -3.51% |
| S3 | 192.53 | -6.92% |
NVDA Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jun 04, 2026 | Jun 04, 2026 | Jun 26, 2026 | $0.250 | 0.116% |
| 2 | Mar 11, 2026 | Mar 11, 2026 | Apr 01, 2026 | $0.0100 | 0.0054% |
| 3 | Nov 19, 2025 | Dec 04, 2025 | Dec 26, 2025 | $0.0100 | 0.0055% |
| 4 | Aug 27, 2025 | Sep 11, 2025 | Oct 02, 2025 | $0.0100 | 0.0057% |
| 5 | May 28, 2025 | Jun 11, 2025 | Jul 03, 2025 | $0.0100 | 0.0073% |
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